Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹202.46(▲10.96%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

AMNPLSTAmines & Plasticizers Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Amines & Plasticizers Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Commodity Chemicals

Risk ClassWatch

Market Cap₹811 Cr

Primary DriverCompetitive Position

Flagium AI Risk Score

31 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in competitive position. This suggests the risk profile is currently stabilizing. Risk levels are improving.

50.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹202.46▲10.96%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Competitive Position

+15.0 pts

Stability Adjustment

+16.0 pts

Final Composite Risk31 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 31 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Relative Growth Weakness
Industrial Margin Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Working capital efficiency
Inventory turnover

Active Risk Objects (5)

CriticalHigh

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 4 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (13.2%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 4 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 50.7%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

AMNPLST: EBITDA margin compressed by 2.8 bps YoY.

"Margins are in freefall. Operating costs are growing significantly faster than revenue."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

Inventory growth (46.6%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (-74.8%).

"Inventory overhang is clearing. Stock levels are normalizing as sales momentum returns."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	7.91	11.00	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+35.0	+35.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Commodity Chemicals (n=15 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹202.46(+10.96%)

1M Divergence+21.86%

1 Week+4.89%

1 Month+24.12%

6 Months+6.91%

1 Year-10.17%

2 Year-0.62%

3 Year+31.5%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The risk profile is Early Signals and currently improving. Recent structural triggers in competitive position suggest a building pressure on the underlying framework. Material forensic traces are visible in core structural metrics, indicating a progressive erosion of structural stability. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

AMNPLST • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.23%

Trend QualityStabilizing

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score55%

Readiness LabelModerate (Transition Potential Building)

Probability of Advancing23%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.7936σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#307 of 2716

Top 11.30% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+4.9%

1M+24.1%

6M+6.9%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹179.17

200 DMA₹189.17

150 DMA Slope-2.0356%Declining

Relative Strength+9.54%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.9314

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (31).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
ANDHRSUGARThe Andhra Sugars Limited	12	7th	0	21	+0	Earnings QualityStable
AMNPLSTAmines & Plasticizers Limited	31	50th	-5	5	+0	Competitive PositionWatch
CHEMFABCHEMFAB	32	57th	-3	25	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
TATACHEMTata Chemicals Limited	59	100th	+27	27	+1	Balance Sheet StressModerate Deterioration