Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹104.18(▲1.2%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

APTECHTAptech Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Aptech Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Education

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹494 Cr

Primary DriverEarnings Quality

Flagium AI Risk Score

5 / 100

+5 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in profitability and earnings quality. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

0.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +1 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹104.18▲1.2%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality

+10.6 pts

Stability Adjustment

-6.0 pts

Final Composite Risk5 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 6 → 5 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Profit Collapse
Cash Conversion Deficit

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Operating cash flow

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 4 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

APTECHT: Net Profit collapsed by 64.0% from FY2025 Q4 to FY2026 Q4.

"Earnings quality is under severe pressure. High accruals suggest potential revenue overstatement."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalFY2024

APTECHT: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion has normalized in the latest period. Operational cash flow is back in sync."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	3.42	3.83	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+61.0	+51.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Education (n=3 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

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Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹104.18(+1.2%)

1M Divergence+3.12%

1 Week-2.64%

1 Month+3.5%

6 Months+7.16%

1 Year-31.6%

2 Year-50.4%

3 Year-71.32%

Sector Average (1M)+0.38%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in earnings quality remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of operational margins and profitability metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

APTECHT • MARKET STRUCTURE