Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹508.2(▼2.69%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

AVLAditya Vision Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Aditya Vision Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Speciality Retail

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹6,201 Cr

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

0 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

0.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹508.2▼2.69%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

No active forensic penalties contributing.

Final Composite Risk0 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 0 → 0 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	0.91	3.65	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+66.0	+60.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Speciality Retail (n=13 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

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Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹508.2(-2.69%)

1M Divergence-3.51%

1 Week-5.37%

1 Month-3.13%

6 Months+0.53%

1 Year+25.88%

2 Year+7.22%

3 Year+7.22%

Sector Average (1M)+0.38%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

AVL • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.1%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score15%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing1%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.2117σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1442 of 2716

Top 53.09% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-5.4%

1M-3.1%

6M+0.5%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹508.36

200 DMA₹510.3

150 DMA Slope-0.3958%Declining

Relative Strength+5.83%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)0.5997

ParticipationWeak

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (6).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
AVLAditya Vision Limited	0	0th	-5	1	+0	GovernanceStable
ABLBLAditya Birla Lifestyle Brands Limited	5	42th	0	4	+0	Balance Sheet StressStable
BCONCEPTSBrand Concepts Limited	15	67th	-2	18	+0	Balance Sheet StressStable
ABFRLAditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited	36	92th	-8	23	+0	Earnings QualityWatch