Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹181.15(▼1.19%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

BALMLAWRIEBalmer Lawrie & Company Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Balmer Lawrie & Company Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Diversified

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹3,035 Cr

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

5 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

60.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹181.15▼1.19%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Stability Adjustment

+5.0 pts

Final Composite Risk5 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 5 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Relative Growth Weakness
Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (6.5%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt servicing metrics have improved recently. The company is actively deleveraging."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	2.27	2.74	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+61.0	+62.5	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Diversified (n=6 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

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Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹181.15(-1.19%)

1M Divergence-1.27%

1 Week-0.48%

1 Month-3.64%

6 Months+1.62%

1 Year-8.79%

2 Year-26.3%

3 Year+60.11%

Sector Average (1M)-2.37%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

BALMLAWRIE • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.8%

Trend QualityEarly Base

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score30%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing8%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.1237σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1247 of 2716

Top 45.91% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-0.5%

1M-3.6%

6M+1.6%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹177.47

200 DMA₹184.7

150 DMA Slope-0.9610%Declining

Relative Strength+7.10%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.2524

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (3.5).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
3MINDIA3M India Limited	2	40th	-5	5	+0	GovernanceStable
BALMLAWRIEBalmer Lawrie & Company Limited	5	60th	-5	2	+0	GovernanceStable
DVLDVL	22	100th	+1	21	+3	Competitive PositionWatch