Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹114.61(▼0.77%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

BEDMUTHABedmutha Industries Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Bedmutha Industries Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Iron & Steel Products

Risk ClassWatch

Market Cap₹428 Cr

Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress

Flagium AI Risk Score

30 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in balance sheet stress. This suggests the risk profile is currently stabilizing. Risk levels are improving.

85.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹114.61▼0.77%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress

+7.7 pts

Stability Adjustment

+22.0 pts

Final Composite Risk30 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 10 → 30 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Margin Compression
Industrial Margin Stress
Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Debt growth
Working capital efficiency

Active Risk Objects (6)

CriticalHigh

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

BEDMUTHA: EBITDA margin compressed by 1.9 bps YoY and Raw material costs consumed an additional 8.3% of revenue YoY.

"Margins are in freefall. Operating costs are growing significantly faster than revenue."

Margin Compression

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Operating margin declined by 4.2 bps YoY for two consecutive quarters.

"Margins are in freefall. Operating costs are growing significantly faster than revenue."

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 5 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

BEDMUTHA: Net Profit collapsed by 284.9% from FY2025 Q3 to FY2026 Q3.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 12 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

BEDMUTHA: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of 2.05x in FY2026 Q4 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"Earnings buffer for interest payments is narrowing. Monitor for margin pressure."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 4 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2024

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 27.1%.

"Working capital pressure is receding. Cash previously locked in operations is being released."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	4	7.53	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+36.0	+51.0	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Iron & Steel Products (n=41 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹114.61(-0.77%)

1M Divergence+1.26%

1 Week+5.79%

1 Month+3.52%

6 Months+13.22%

1 Year-26.32%

2 Year-55.48%

3 Year+98.98%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The risk profile is Early Signals and currently improving. Recent structural triggers in balance sheet stress suggest a building pressure on the underlying framework. Material forensic traces are visible in core structural metrics, indicating a progressive erosion of structural stability. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

BEDMUTHA • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.1%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score15%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing1%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.1156σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1224 of 2716

Top 45.07% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+5.8%

1M+3.5%

6M+13.2%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹116.97

200 DMA₹122.19

150 DMA Slope-2.8317%Declining

Relative Strength+12.91%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)0.4262

ParticipationWeak

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company shows higher risk compared to the Sector Mean (15).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
AEROENTERAeroflex Enterprises Limited	5	15th	-5	14	+0	GovernanceStable
BEDMUTHABedmutha Industries Limited	30	85th	-5	6	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
ELECTCASTElectrosteel Castings Limited	36	95th	-4	30	+0	Earnings QualityWatch
GANDHITUBEGANDHITUBE	41	100th	+35	15	+1	Balance Sheet StressModerate Deterioration