Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹95.74(▲1.79%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

BEPLBhansali Engineering Polymers Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Bhansali Engineering Polymers Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Specialty Chemicals

Risk ClassWatch

Market Cap₹2,013 Cr

Primary DriverCompetitive Position

Flagium AI Risk Score

20 / 100

+5 QoQ

Deteriorating

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in competitive position. This suggests a building risk profile. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

46.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +5 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹95.74▲1.79%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Competitive Position

+15.0 pts

Growth Sustainability

+10.0 pts

Stability Adjustment

-5.0 pts

Final Composite Risk20 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 20 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🚨 Escalate

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Relative Growth Weakness
Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Inventory turnover
Operating cash flow

Active Risk Objects (5)

CriticalHigh

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (12.8%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Inventory growth (56.0%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (-0.2%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

BEPL: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 3.7%.

"Working capital pressure is receding. Cash previously locked in operations is being released."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	3.64	10.68	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+46.0	+46.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Specialty Chemicals (n=51 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹95.74(+1.79%)

1M Divergence-2.67%

1 Week-1.39%

1 Month-0.41%

6 Months+6.8%

1 Year-16.14%

2 Year+9.35%

3 Year+10.9%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The risk profile is Early Signals and currently deteriorating. Recent structural triggers in competitive position suggest a building pressure on the underlying framework. Material forensic traces are visible in core structural metrics, indicating a progressive erosion of structural stability. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

BEPL • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.17%

Trend QualityStabilizing

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score55%

Readiness LabelModerate (Transition Potential Building)

Probability of Advancing17%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.1534σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#739 of 2716

Top 27.21% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-1.4%

1M-0.4%

6M+6.8%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹89.43

200 DMA₹92.42

150 DMA Slope-0.4180%Declining

Relative Strength+12.29%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.7583

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (20).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
BEPLBhansali Engineering Polymers Limited	20	46th	+5	5	+5	Competitive PositionWatch
AARTIINDAarti Industries Limited	20	46th	-5	24	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
ANURASAnupam Rasayan India Limited	31	78th	+16	29	+2	Balance Sheet StressWatch
ACIArchean Chemical Industries Limited	35	84th	+20	22	+1	Earnings QualityWatch