Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹16.49(▲3.06%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

BESTAGROBest Agrolife Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Best Agrolife Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Pesticides & Agrochemicals

Risk ClassModerate Deterioration

Market Cap₹482 Cr

Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress

Flagium AI Risk Score

47 / 100

+33 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Some early signs of pressure are visible. Weakness is detected in balance sheet stress. This suggests a building risk profile. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

94.4th %ile (Sector)Accel: +2 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹16.49▲3.06%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress

+20.0 pts

Competitive Position

+15.0 pts

Earnings Quality

+12.2 pts

Final Composite Risk47 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 47 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🚨 Escalate

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Relative Growth Weakness
Industrial Margin Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Working capital efficiency
Inventory turnover

Active Risk Objects (6)

CriticalHigh

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (13.0%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 4 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 52.3%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

BESTAGRO: EBITDA margin compressed by 19.7 bps YoY and Raw material costs consumed an additional 32.1% of revenue YoY.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 5 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

BESTAGRO: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of -2.95x in FY2026 Q4 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"Interest coverage is dangerously low. Even a minor fall in profit could trigger a default."

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

BESTAGRO: Net Profit collapsed by 58.9% from FY2025 Q2 to FY2026 Q2.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

Inventory growth (12.9%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (-58.9%).

"Inventory overhang is clearing. Stock levels are normalizing as sales momentum returns."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	8.09	7.62	⚠️ HIGH
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+19.0	+46.5	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Pesticides & Agrochemicals (n=18 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹16.49(+3.06%)

1M Divergence-10.45%

1 Week-11.87%

1 Month-8.18%

6 Months-37.44%

1 Year-26.68%

2 Year-54.35%

3 Year-74.92%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The risk profile is Moderate Stress and currently deteriorating. Recent structural triggers in balance sheet stress suggest a building pressure on the underlying framework. Material forensic traces are visible in core structural metrics, indicating a progressive erosion of structural stability. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

BESTAGRO • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.0%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score0%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing0%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.5141σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#2083 of 2716

Top 76.69% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-11.9%

1M-8.2%

6M-37.4%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹20.28

200 DMA₹21.36

150 DMA Slope-3.7015%Declining

Relative Strength-31.95%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)0.1377

ParticipationWeak

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company shows higher risk compared to the Sector Mean (19.5).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
ADVANCEAdvance Agrolife Limited	14	44th	+5	3	+1	Growth SustainabilityStable
ASTECAstec LifeSciences Limited	25	67th	-5	26	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
HERANBAHERANBA	45	89th	+10	36	+1	Balance Sheet StressModerate Deterioration
BESTAGROBest Agrolife Limited	47	94th	+33	6	+2	Balance Sheet StressModerate Deterioration