Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹54.39(▼0.02%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

BLKASHYAPB. L. Kashyap and Sons Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: B. L. Kashyap and Sons Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Civil Construction

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹1,156 Cr

Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress

Flagium AI Risk Score

18 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile is stable with manageable leverage. Pressure is receding in balance sheet stress. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

61.5th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹54.39▼0.02%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress

+8.6 pts

Stability Adjustment

+9.0 pts

Final Composite Risk18 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 10 → 18 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Margin Compression
Relative Growth Weakness
Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (6)

CriticalHigh

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (11.0%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Margin Compression

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

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Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

Operating margin declined by 8.2 bps YoY for two consecutive quarters.

"Operating efficiency is stabilizing. The rate of margin deterioration has slowed."

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 9 Qtrs

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Impact Weight8/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

BLKASHYAP: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of 0.08x in FY2026 Q4 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"Interest coverage is dangerously low. Even a minor fall in profit could trigger a default."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 4 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"The balance sheet is heavily over-leveraged. Interest payments are consuming most of the profit."

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 4 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

BLKASHYAP: Net Profit collapsed by 191.9% from FY2025 Q2 to FY2026 Q2.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Revenue-Debt Divergence

🏛️ Solvency & LeverageAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalFY2025

BLKASHYAP: Revenue fell 6.1% while Debt rose 2.3% in 2025 vs 2024.

"Debt servicing metrics have improved recently. The company is actively deleveraging."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	6.83	4.13	⚠️ HIGH
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+48.0	+56.0	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Civil Construction (n=53 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹54.39(-0.02%)

1M Divergence-5.39%

1 Week-6.48%

1 Month-5.01%

6 Months+12.47%

1 Year-19.34%

2 Year-18.33%

3 Year+45.43%

Sector Average (1M)+0.38%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in balance sheet stress remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of core structural metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

BLKASHYAP • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.11%

Trend QualityStabilizing

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score47.5%

Readiness LabelModerate (Transition Potential Building)

Probability of Advancing11%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.0412σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#918 of 2716

Top 33.80% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-6.5%

1M-5.0%

6M+12.5%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹51.82

200 DMA₹55.34

150 DMA Slope-1.2421%Declining

Relative Strength+17.96%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.1735

ParticipationNeutral

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company shows higher risk compared to the Sector Mean (10).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
AHLUCONTAhluwalia Contracts (India) Limited	9	44th	+5	9	+1	Earnings QualityStable
BLKASHYAPB. L. Kashyap and Sons Limited	18	62th	-5	6	+0	Balance Sheet StressStable
AFCONSAfcons Infrastructure Limited	35	90th	+25	12	+2	Earnings QualityWatch
BRNLBharat Road Network Limited	44	100th	+30	16	+3	Earnings QualityModerate Deterioration