Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹273.45(▲0.02%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

CROMPTONCrompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Household Appliances

Risk ClassWatch

Market Cap₹16,510 Cr

Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress

Flagium AI Risk Score

35 / 100

+20 QoQ

Deteriorating

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in balance sheet stress. This suggests a building risk profile. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

73.7th %ile (Sector)Accel: +4 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹273.45▲0.02%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress

+17.3 pts

Earnings Quality

+13.0 pts

Competitive Position

+10.6 pts

Stability Adjustment

-6.0 pts

Final Composite Risk35 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 35 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🚨 Escalate

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Relative Growth Weakness
Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Debt growth
Operating profit margins
Working capital efficiency

Active Risk Objects (6)

CriticalHigh

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"The balance sheet is heavily over-leveraged. Interest payments are consuming most of the profit."

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs

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Impact Weight8/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

CROMPTON: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of -50.45x in FY2026 Q4 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"Interest coverage is dangerously low. Even a minor fall in profit could trigger a default."

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

CROMPTON: Net Profit collapsed by 409.2% from FY2025 Q4 to FY2026 Q4.

"Earnings quality is under severe pressure. High accruals suggest potential revenue overstatement."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 41.7%.

"Working capital cycle is stretching dangerously. This is putting severe strain on daily operations."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Inventory growth (4.4%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (0.8%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 4 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (12.8%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	4.09	9.85	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+31.0	+41.5	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Household Appliances (n=20 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹273.45(+0.02%)

1M Divergence-1.87%

1 Week-5.4%

1 Month+0.4%

6 Months+5.62%

1 Year-22.16%

2 Year-29.17%

3 Year+2.93%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The risk profile is Early Signals and currently deteriorating. Recent structural triggers in balance sheet stress suggest a building pressure on the underlying framework. Material forensic traces are visible in core structural metrics, indicating a progressive erosion of structural stability. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

CROMPTON • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.21%

Trend QualityEarly Base

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score30%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing21%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.0486σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1083 of 2716

Top 39.87% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-5.4%

1M+0.4%

6M+5.6%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹260.68

200 DMA₹272.8

150 DMA Slope-0.1420%Declining

Relative Strength+11.11%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.6798

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company shows higher risk compared to the Sector Mean (24.5).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
BLUESTARCOBlue Star Limited	10	21th	0	9	+0	Competitive PositionStable
AMBERAmber Enterprises India Limited	29	53th	-5	18	+0	GovernanceWatch
CROMPTONCrompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited	35	74th	+20	6	+4	Balance Sheet StressWatch
EPACKEPACK	49	95th	+12	24	+1	Balance Sheet StressModerate Deterioration