Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹565.15(▲0%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

DEEDEVDEEDEV Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: DEEDEV Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Industrial Products

Risk ClassWatch

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverEarnings Quality

Flagium AI Risk Score

21 / 100

+1 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in profitability and earnings quality. This suggests a building risk profile. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

50.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +2 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹565.15▲0%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality

+13.4 pts

Balance Sheet Stress

+8.0 pts

Final Composite Risk21 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 10 → 21 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Industrial Margin Stress
Working Capital Expansion
Capex Efficiency Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Operating cash flow
Working capital efficiency

Active Risk Objects (6)

CriticalHigh

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 4 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

DEEDEV: EBITDA margin compressed by 5.2 bps YoY and Raw material costs consumed an additional 5.6% of revenue YoY.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Capex Efficiency Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

Aggressive Capex (35.9%) amidst slow revenue growth (-75.2%).

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

DEEDEV: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Negative FCF Streak

⚖️ Governance SignalsAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

DEEDEV: Negative Free Cash Flow for last 3 consecutive years.

"High capital expenditure and low OCF are draining cash. Debt levels may rise sharply."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 22.9%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 5 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

DEEDEV: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of 2.34x in FY2026 Q3 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"The ability to cover interest is strengthening as earnings improve or debt is retired."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	6.25	8.74	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+45.0	+45.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Industrial Products (n=45 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹565.15(+0%)

1M Divergence+33.26%

1 Week+4.71%

1 Month+35.53%

6 Months+180.03%

1 Year+92.56%

2 Year+74.71%

3 Year+74.71%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The risk profile is Early Signals and currently consolidating. Recent structural triggers in earnings quality suggest a building pressure on the underlying framework. Material forensic traces are visible in operational margins and profitability metrics, indicating a progressive erosion of structural stability. Continued monitoring is necessary as risk levels remain above institutional safety parameters.

DEEDEV • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 2 — Advancing

The company is in a growth phase. Institutional sentiment is highly positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sustained risk reduction.

Stage Transition Prob.97%

Trend QualityStrong

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score85%

Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)

Probability of Advancing97%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+3.9211σ

Strong positive momentum leadership

Universe Rank#13 of 2716

Top 0.48% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+4.7%

1M+35.5%

6M+180.0%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹284.08

200 DMA₹282.44

150 DMA Slope+10.6837%Rising

Relative Strength+171.02%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)0.6071

ParticipationWeak

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (21).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited	19	41th	-4	22	+0	Earnings QualityStable
DEEDEVDEEDEV	21	50th	+1	6	+2	Earnings QualityWatch
ANUPThe Anup Engineering Limited	35	77th	+20	14	+2	Earnings QualityWatch
ATAMAtam Valves Limited	35	77th	0	11	+0	Earnings QualityWatch