DHANBANKDHANBANK Forensic Risk Analysis

Private Sector Bank
Risk ClassWatch
Market CapN/A
Primary DriverEarnings Quality
Flagium AI Risk Score
Early signs of stress detected. Not yet widespread, but initial deterioration is visible.
34 / 100
-5 QoQ
Improving
Sentinel Insight

Early signs of pressure are emerging in asset quality. Pressure is receding in core profitability and credit costs. This suggests the risk profile is currently stabilizing. Risk levels are improving.

89.5th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs
Updated2026-06-02
Market View
33.720.6%
PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality
+16.5 pts
Stability Adjustment
+17.0 pts
Final Composite Risk34 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 3434 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction
🟢 Improving
Primary Deterioration Drivers
  • GNPA Spike
  • CAR Decay
  • NIM Compression
What to Watch Next Quarter
  • Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (4)

CriticalHigh
NIM Compression
📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 6 Qtrs
More Detail
Impact Weight10/15
MomentumPersistent
Last SignalQ4 FY2026
DHANBANK: NIM compressed by 204 bps YoY (to 3.61%). [Growth Adjusted: 24%]

"NIM is under severe pressure due to rising cost of funds or falling asset yields."

GNPA Spike
🔭 Relative Sector RiskQuarterlyActive for 2 Qtrs
More Detail
Impact Weight15/15
MomentumDecaying
Last SignalQ1 FY2026
DHANBANK: GNPA rise is accelerating (QoQ rise 24 bps vs prev -55 bps).

"Asset quality signals are beginning to normalize. Historical credit costs are now receding."

CAR Decay
🏛️ Solvency & LeverageQuarterlyActive for 8 Qtrs
More Detail
Impact Weight15/15
MomentumDecaying
Last SignalQ3 FY2026
DHANBANK: Persistent 3-quarter CAR decline detected in vigilance zone.

"Capital position is strengthening through fresh equity or higher profit retention."

Provision Coverage Weakening
📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs
More Detail
Impact Weight10/15
MomentumDecaying
Last SignalQ2 FY2026
DHANBANK: Provision Coverage Ratio (PCR) dropped to 64.7% while GNPA grew by 9498.3%.

"Asset quality signals are beginning to normalize. Historical credit costs are now receding."

Risk Trajectory
Historical 12-quarter risk trend (Q-11 to Q0) followed by a 2-quarter predictive funnel (Q+1, Q+2).
Loading Chart
Resilience Matrix
Diagnostic benchmarking comparing structural sensitivity and risk buffers against sector medians.
MetricValuevs SectorSignal
Volatility (σ)7.8211.47✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)11.00✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.5%5%✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer+32.0+42.5📈 CRITICAL
Forensic Benchmark Context: Private Sector Bank (n=20 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart
Share Price
Risk Score (0-100)
Market Performance
33.72(+0.6%)
1M Divergence+11.54%
1 Week+1.87%
1 Month+10.88%
6 Months+29.49%
1 Year+5.51%
2 Year-18.75%
3 Year+96.05%
Sector Average (1M)-0.66%
Sentinel Forensic Assessment
ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The risk profile is Early Signals and currently improving. Recent structural triggers in earnings quality suggest a building pressure on the underlying framework. Material forensic traces are visible in operational margins and profitability metrics, indicating a progressive erosion of structural stability. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

DHANBANK • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 2 — Advancing

The company is in a growth phase. Institutional sentiment is highly positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sustained risk reduction.

Stage Transition Prob.98%
Trend QualityStrong
Phase Progression
Phase Progression Score100%
Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)
Probability of Advancing98%
CoinTree Momentum
Composite Z-Score+1.0854σ
Strong positive momentum leadership
Universe Rank
A cross-sectional rank of this stock's composite momentum score compared to all other tracked equities in the universe. A rank of #1 of 1035 means it has the strongest overall price momentum in the market.
#217 of 2716
Top 7.99% in momentum strength
Timeframe Sparklines
1W+1.9%
1M+10.9%
6M+29.5%
Weinstein Indicators
150 DMA26.24
200 DMA26.14
150 DMA Slope+3.8154%Rising
Relative Strength+34.98%Leading
Relative Turnover (RTR)3.4787
ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company shows higher risk compared to the Sector Mean (23.5).

* Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.

Risk Profiles

Solvency
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Governance
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Earnings Quality
3.434th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Growth Sustainability
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)

Deterioration Timeline

2026

NIM Compression

2026

CAR Decay

2026

NIM Compression

2026

Provision Coverage Weakening

2026

NIM Compression

2026

GNPA Spike

2026

NIM Compression

2025

NIM Compression

2025

CAR Decay

2025

CAR Decay

2025

CAR Decay

2024

CAR Decay

2024

NIM Compression

2024

CAR Decay

2024

GNPA Spike

2024

CAR Decay

2024

CAR Decay

Key Financials (INR Cr)

PeriodRevenueNet ProfitOCFDebt
FY20261,794103631737
FY20251,48967-5200
FY20241,3605817299