Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹3.27(▲0%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

DISHTVDISHTV Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: DISHTV Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

TV Broadcasting & Software Production

Risk ClassModerate Deterioration

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverEarnings Quality

Flagium AI Risk Score

44 / 100

0 QoQ

Stable

Sentinel Insight

Some early signs of pressure are visible. Pressure has stabilized in profitability and earnings quality. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. No major change in risk trend.

100.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹3.27▲0%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality

+20.0 pts

Competitive Position

+15.0 pts

Balance Sheet Stress

+8.6 pts

Final Composite Risk44 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 11 → 44 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Margin Compression
Relative Growth Weakness
Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (5)

CriticalHigh

Margin Compression

📉 Trend DeteriorationAnnualActive for 5 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Operating margin declined by 71.7 bps YoY for two consecutive quarters.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 4 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Revenue growth has slowed, indicating weakening demand environment.

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"The balance sheet is heavily over-leveraged. Interest payments are consuming most of the profit."

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 12 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

DISHTV: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of -3.45x in FY2026 Q4 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"Interest coverage is dangerously low. Even a minor fall in profit could trigger a default."

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 3 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

DISHTV: Net Profit collapsed by 790.9% from FY2024 Q2 to FY2025 Q2.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	4.75	8.37	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+22.0	+32.0	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: TV Broadcasting & Software Production (n=11 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹3.27(+0%)

1M Divergence-14.78%

1 Week-2.97%

1 Month-14.4%

6 Months-20.24%

1 Year-46.83%

2 Year-78.42%

3 Year-76.64%

Sector Average (1M)+0.38%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The risk profile is Moderate Stress and currently consolidating. Recent structural triggers in earnings quality suggest a building pressure on the underlying framework. Material forensic traces are visible in operational margins and profitability metrics, indicating a progressive erosion of structural stability. Continued monitoring is necessary as risk levels remain above institutional safety parameters.

DISHTV • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.0%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score7.5%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing0%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.0604σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1103 of 2716

Top 40.61% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-3.0%

1M-14.4%

6M-20.2%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹3.58

200 DMA₹3.97

150 DMA Slope-5.1223%Declining

Relative Strength-13.65%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.1338

ParticipationNeutral

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company shows higher risk compared to the Sector Mean (34).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
AQYLONAqylon Nexus Limited	10	10th	+5	8	+1	Earnings QualityStable
GTPLGTPL	13	20th	+5	15	+1	Earnings QualityStable
BAGFILMSB.A.G Films and Media Limited	35	60th	+21	21	+4	Earnings QualityWatch
DISHTVDISHTV	44	100th	0	5	+0	Earnings QualityModerate Deterioration