ELGIEQUIPElgi Equipments Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Compressors Pumps & Diesel Engines
Risk ClassStable
Market Cap₹16,457 Cr
Primary DriverEarnings Quality
Flagium AI Risk Score
Stable structural profile. Financial profile appears resilient.
5 / 100
+5 QoQ
Early Deterioration
Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in profitability and earnings quality. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

16.7th %ile (Sector)Accel: +1 Qtrs
Updated2026-06-02
Market View
₹589.35▲1.57%
PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality
+7.2 pts
Stability Adjustment
-2.0 pts
Final Composite Risk5 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 5 → 5 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction
⚠ Watch
Primary Deterioration Drivers
  • Industrial Margin Stress
  • Profit Collapse
  • Cash Conversion Deficit
What to Watch Next Quarter
  • Operating cash flow
  • Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (3)

CriticalHigh
Cash Conversion Deficit
📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years
More Detail
Impact Weight6/15
MomentumDecaying
Last SignalFY2025
ELGIEQUIP: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion has normalized in the latest period. Operational cash flow is back in sync."

Profit Collapse
📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs
More Detail
Impact Weight8/15
MomentumDecaying
Last SignalQ4 FY2024
ELGIEQUIP: Net Profit collapsed by 55.2% from FY2023 Q4 to FY2024 Q4.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Industrial Margin Stress
📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years
More Detail
Impact Weight12/15
MomentumAccelerating
Last SignalQ4 FY2026
ELGIEQUIP: Raw material costs consumed an additional 3.1% of revenue YoY.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Risk Trajectory
Historical 12-quarter risk trend (Q-11 to Q0) followed by a 2-quarter predictive funnel (Q+1, Q+2).
Loading Chart
Resilience Matrix
Diagnostic benchmarking comparing structural sensitivity and risk buffers against sector medians.
MetricValuevs SectorSignal
Volatility (σ)1.677.92✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)11.00✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.5%5%✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer+61.0+58.0✅ RESILIENT
Forensic Benchmark Context: Compressors Pumps & Diesel Engines (n=13 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart
Share Price
Risk Score (0-100)
Market Performance
₹589.35(+1.57%)
1M Divergence+4.21%
1 Week+4.68%
1 Month+6.48%
6 Months+19.92%
1 Year+10.67%
2 Year-2.82%
3 Year+9.36%
Sector Average (1M)+2.27%
Sentinel Forensic Assessment
ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in earnings quality remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of operational margins and profitability metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

ELGIEQUIP • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 2 — Advancing

The company is in a growth phase. Institutional sentiment is highly positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sustained risk reduction.

Stage Transition Prob.96%
Trend QualityStrong
Phase Progression
Phase Progression Score82.5%
Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)
Probability of Advancing96%
CoinTree Momentum
Composite Z-Score+0.4491σ
Improving momentum strength
Universe Rank
A cross-sectional rank of this stock's composite momentum score compared to all other tracked equities in the universe. A rank of #1 of 1035 means it has the strongest overall price momentum in the market.
#480 of 2716
Top 17.67% in momentum strength
Timeframe Sparklines
1W+4.7%
1M+6.5%
6M+19.9%
Weinstein Indicators
150 DMA₹499.92
200 DMA₹496.6
150 DMA Slope+1.9416%Rising
Relative Strength+25.41%Leading
Relative Turnover (RTR)1.1849
ParticipationNeutral

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (8).
ELGIEQUIPElgi Equipments Limited
5 Risk
Sector %ile17th
Delta+5
Active Flags3
Accel+1
Earnings Quality

Stable

CUMMINSINDCummins India Limited
5 Risk
Sector %ile17th
Delta+5
Active Flags8
Accel+1
Balance Sheet Stress

Stable

KSBKsb Limited
19 Risk
Sector %ile67th
Delta-5
Active Flags11
Accel+0
Competitive Position

Stable

INGERRANDIngersoll Rand (India) Limited
35 Risk
Sector %ile83th
Delta-8
Active Flags18
Accel+0
Earnings Quality

Watch

* Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.

Risk Profiles

Solvency
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Governance
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Earnings Quality
5.252th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Balance Sheet Stress
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Competitive Position
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Growth Sustainability
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)

Deterioration Timeline

2026

Industrial Margin Stress

2025

Cash Conversion Deficit

2024

Industrial Margin Stress

2024

Cash Conversion Deficit

Key Financials (INR Cr)

PeriodRevenueNet ProfitOCFDebt
FY20264,069430454405
FY20253,568350391491
FY20243,273312288560
FY20233,108371166509