Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹187.64(▲2.26%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

EPACKPEBEPACKPEB Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: EPACKPEB Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Industrial Products

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverGrowth Sustainability

Flagium AI Risk Score

14 / 100

+5 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in growth sustainability. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

22.7th %ile (Sector)Accel: +1 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹187.64▲2.26%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Growth Sustainability

+10.0 pts

Balance Sheet Stress

+8.0 pts

Stability Adjustment

-4.0 pts

Final Composite Risk14 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 14 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Working Capital Expansion

What to Watch Next Quarter

Inventory turnover
Working capital efficiency

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Inventory growth (44.4%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (9.2%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 6.8%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	2.18	8.74	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+52.0	+45.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Industrial Products (n=45 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹187.64(+2.26%)

1M Divergence-8.55%

1 Week-0.96%

1 Month-6.28%

6 Months-40.61%

1 YearN/A

2 Year-27.45%

3 Year-27.45%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in growth sustainability remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of core structural metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

EPACKPEB • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.3%

Trend QualityEarly Base

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score7.5%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing3%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.4293σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1941 of 2716

Top 71.47% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-1.0%

1M-6.3%

6M-40.6%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹226.76

200 DMA₹N/A

150 DMA SlopeN/ANeutral

Relative Strength-35.12%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.0000

ParticipationNeutral

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (21).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
AARONAaron Industries Limited	7	11th	0	7	+0	Earnings QualityStable
EPACKPEBEPACKPEB	14	23th	+5	2	+1	Growth SustainabilityStable
ANUPThe Anup Engineering Limited	35	77th	+20	14	+2	Earnings QualityWatch
ATAMAtam Valves Limited	35	77th	0	11	+0	Earnings QualityWatch