Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹17,833(▼5.67%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

FORCEMOTFORCE MOTORS LTD Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: FORCE MOTORS LTD Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Passenger Cars & Utility Vehicles

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹27,825 Cr

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

5 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

20.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹17,833▼5.67%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Stability Adjustment

+5.0 pts

Final Composite Risk5 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 5 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Working Capital Expansion

What to Watch Next Quarter

Working capital efficiency

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 4 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 96.5%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	5	5.61	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+61.0	+56.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Passenger Cars & Utility Vehicles (n=6 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹17,833(-5.67%)

1M Divergence-12.67%

1 Week-10.08%

1 Month-10.4%

6 Months+1.51%

1 Year+53.64%

2 Year+105.1%

3 Year+835.46%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

FORCEMOT • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.51%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score42.5%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing51%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.8559σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#2461 of 2716

Top 90.61% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-10.1%

1M-10.4%

6M+1.5%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹20,000.88

200 DMA₹19,557.02

150 DMA Slope+1.9838%Rising

Relative Strength+7.00%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.1677

ParticipationNeutral

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (10).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
FORCEMOTFORCE MOTORS LTD	5	20th	-5	1	+0	GovernanceStable
HYUNDAIHyundai Motor India Limited	12	60th	+3	6	+1	Competitive PositionStable
TMPVTata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited	30	100th	-10	16	+0	Earnings QualityWatch