Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹183.03(▲0%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

GULPOLYGULPOLY Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: GULPOLY Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Other Agricultural Products

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

0 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

0.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹183.03▲0%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

No active forensic penalties contributing.

Final Composite Risk0 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 12 → 0 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Industrial Margin Stress
Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Operating cash flow
Inventory turnover

Active Risk Objects (7)

CriticalHigh

Negative FCF Streak

⚖️ Governance SignalsAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalFY2025

GULPOLY: Negative Free Cash Flow for last 3 consecutive years.

"Free cash flow pressure is easing as capital intensity or working capital stress recedes."

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 4 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2024

GULPOLY: Net Profit collapsed by 54.2% from FY2023 Q4 to FY2024 Q4.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalFY2024

GULPOLY: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion has normalized in the latest period. Operational cash flow is back in sync."

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

GULPOLY: Raw material costs consumed an additional 4.5% of revenue YoY.

"Operating efficiency is stabilizing. The rate of margin deterioration has slowed."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Inventory growth (40.7%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (22.7%).

"Slight build-up in inventory detected. Monitor for slowing sales momentum."

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 3 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

GULPOLY: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of 2.20x in FY2025 Q4 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"The ability to cover interest is strengthening as earnings improve or debt is retired."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt servicing metrics have improved recently. The company is actively deleveraging."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	3.83	8.70	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+66.0	+49.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Other Agricultural Products (n=14 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹183.03(+0%)

1M Divergence-1.23%

1 Week-0.46%

1 Month+1.03%

6 Months+29.77%

1 Year-1.69%

2 Year+2.85%

3 Year-16.45%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

GULPOLY • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.85%

Trend QualityDeveloping

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score75%

Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)

Probability of Advancing85%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.4732σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#461 of 2716

Top 16.97% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-0.5%

1M+1.0%

6M+29.8%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹155.13

200 DMA₹155.54

150 DMA Slope+3.7287%Rising

Relative Strength+36.65%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)2.8672

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (17).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
GULPOLYGULPOLY	0	0th	-5	7	+0	GovernanceStable
AVTNPLAVT Natural Products Limited	6	8th	-2	17	+0	Balance Sheet StressStable
BSHSLBombay Super Hybrid Seeds Limited	17	46th	-5	19	+0	Earnings QualityStable
AGRITECHAgri-Tech (India) Limited	25	69th	+5	15	+1	Earnings QualityWatch