Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹1,174.6(▲2.75%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

HAVELLSHavells India Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Havells India Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Consumer Electronics

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹85,181 Cr

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

0 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

0.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹1,174.6▲2.75%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

No active forensic penalties contributing.

Final Composite Risk0 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 0 → 0 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Inventory turnover
Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Inventory growth (25.9%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (5.0%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	1.82	9.30	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+66.0	+42.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Consumer Electronics (n=6 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹1,174.6(+2.75%)

1M Divergence-7.12%

1 Week-2.2%

1 Month-4.85%

6 Months-17.4%

1 Year-21.83%

2 Year-37.52%

3 Year-10%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

HAVELLS • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.0%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score0%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing0%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.6710σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#2286 of 2716

Top 84.17% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-2.2%

1M-4.8%

6M-17.4%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹1,345

200 DMA₹1,388.7

150 DMA Slope-2.7006%Declining

Relative Strength-11.91%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.3273

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (24).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
HAVELLSHavells India Limited	0	0th	-5	2	+0	GovernanceStable
DIXONDixon Technologies (India) Limited	0	0th	0	3	+0	GovernanceStable
IKIOIKIO	25	60th	-5	25	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
BPLBPL Limited	29	80th	-1	25	+0	Competitive PositionWatch