IFCIIFCI Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Financial Institution
Risk ClassStable
Market Cap₹14,132 Cr
Primary DriverEarnings Quality
Flagium AI Risk Score
Stable structural profile. Financial profile appears resilient.
13 / 100
-5 QoQ
Improving
Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in profitability and earnings quality. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

66.7th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs
Updated2026-06-02
Market View
71.646.58%
PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality
+12.0 pts
Stability Adjustment
+1.0 pts
Final Composite Risk13 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 1813 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction
🟢 Improving
Primary Deterioration Drivers
  • NIM Compression
What to Watch Next Quarter
  • Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh
NIM Compression
📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 8 Qtrs
More Detail
Impact Weight10/15
MomentumPersistent
Last SignalQ4 FY2026
IFCI: NIM declining for 3 consecutive quarters.

"Early signs of margin compression detected. Core interest income is being squeezed."

Risk Trajectory
Historical 12-quarter risk trend (Q-11 to Q0) followed by a 2-quarter predictive funnel (Q+1, Q+2).
Loading Chart
Resilience Matrix
Diagnostic benchmarking comparing structural sensitivity and risk buffers against sector medians.
MetricValuevs SectorSignal
Volatility (σ)4.093.81⚠️ HIGH
Sensitivity (ε_s)11.00✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.5%5%✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer+53.0+55.0📈 CRITICAL
Forensic Benchmark Context: Financial Institution (n=7 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart
Share Price
Risk Score (0-100)
Market Performance
71.64(+6.58%)
1M Divergence+22.79%
1 Week+11.24%
1 Month+22.07%
6 Months+44.06%
1 Year+5.69%
2 Year+23.3%
3 Year+528.42%
Sector Average (1M)-0.73%
Sentinel Forensic Assessment
ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in earnings quality remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of operational margins and profitability metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

IFCI • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 2 — Advancing

The company is in a growth phase. Institutional sentiment is highly positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sustained risk reduction.

Stage Transition Prob.97%
Trend QualityStrong
Phase Progression
Phase Progression Score100%
Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)
Probability of Advancing97%
CoinTree Momentum
Composite Z-Score+1.2460σ
Strong positive momentum leadership
Universe Rank
A cross-sectional rank of this stock's composite momentum score compared to all other tracked equities in the universe. A rank of #1 of 1035 means it has the strongest overall price momentum in the market.
#184 of 2716
Top 6.77% in momentum strength
Timeframe Sparklines
1W+11.2%
1M+22.1%
6M+44.1%
Weinstein Indicators
150 DMA56.4
200 DMA56.03
150 DMA Slope+1.8459%Rising
Relative Strength+49.55%Leading
Relative Turnover (RTR)1.4094
ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (11).
IFCIIFCI Limited
13 Risk
Sector %ile67th
Delta-5
Active Flags1
Accel+0
Earnings Quality

Stable

HUDCOHousing & Urban Development Corporation Limited
18 Risk
Sector %ile83th
Delta-5
Active Flags11
Accel+0
Governance

Stable

* Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.

Risk Profiles

Solvency
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Governance
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Earnings Quality
5.252th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Growth Sustainability
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)

Deterioration Timeline

2026

NIM Compression

2026

NIM Compression

2026

NIM Compression

2025

NIM Compression

2025

NIM Compression

2025

NIM Compression

2024

NIM Compression

2024

NIM Compression

Key Financials (INR Cr)

PeriodRevenueNet ProfitOCFDebt
FY20262,1344351303,523
FY20252,064349-9843,714
FY20242,115241125,367
FY20231,519-120-3366,020