Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹228.66(▲0.92%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

INDOTHAIINDOTHAI Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: INDOTHAI Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Stockbroking & Allied

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹3,742 Cr

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

4 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

15.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹228.66▲0.92%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Stability Adjustment

+4.0 pts

Final Composite Risk4 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 16 → 4 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

NIM Compression
Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh

NIM Compression

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 6 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

INDOTHAI: NIM compressed by 670 bps YoY (to 24.38%).

"Pressure on core margins is stabilizing. Monitor for sustained interest income recovery."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt servicing metrics have improved recently. The company is actively deleveraging."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	6.83	5.23	⚠️ HIGH
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+62.0	+51.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Stockbroking & Allied (n=21 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹228.66(+0.92%)

1M Divergence-19.83%

1 Week-6.73%

1 Month-20.56%

6 Months-45.56%

1 Year+23.47%

2 Year+631.48%

3 Year+776.43%

Sector Average (1M)-0.73%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

INDOTHAI • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.1%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score0%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing1%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-1.3604σ

Significant momentum lag

Universe Rank#2631 of 2716

Top 96.87% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-6.7%

1M-20.6%

6M-45.6%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹307.92

200 DMA₹290.33

150 DMA Slope-2.7863%Declining

Relative Strength-41.40%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.2479

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (15).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
INDOTHAIINDOTHAI	4	15th	-5	2	+0	GovernanceStable
360ONE360 ONE WAM LIMITED	4	15th	-5	8	+0	GovernanceStable
ANGELONEAngel One Limited	15	45th	-5	11	+0	Earnings QualityStable
ARIHANTCAPArihant Capital Markets Limited	20	60th	-5	14	+0	Earnings QualityWatch