Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹124.93(▼1.06%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

IREDAIndian Renewable Energy Development Agency Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Financial Institution

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹32,278 Cr

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

0 / 100

0 QoQ

Stable

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure has stabilized in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. No major change in risk trend.

0.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹124.93▼1.06%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

No active forensic penalties contributing.

Final Composite Risk0 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 0 → 0 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

NIM Compression

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh

NIM Compression

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

IREDA: NIM decline is accelerating (40 bps drop vs prev -23 bps).

"Pressure on core margins is stabilizing. Monitor for sustained interest income recovery."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	0.91	3.81	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+66.0	+55.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Financial Institution (n=7 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

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Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹124.93(-1.06%)

1M Divergence-6.8%

1 Week-3.56%

1 Month-7.53%

6 Months-8.16%

1 Year-28.32%

2 Year-32.04%

3 Year+92.32%

Sector Average (1M)-0.73%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

IREDA • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.0%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score0%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing0%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.2580σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1562 of 2716

Top 57.51% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-3.6%

1M-7.5%

6M-8.2%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹132.12

200 DMA₹136.15

150 DMA Slope-2.0838%Declining

Relative Strength-2.67%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.2252

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (11).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
IREDAIndian Renewable Energy Development Agency Limited	0	0th	0	1	+0	GovernanceStable
IRFCIndian Railway Finance Corporation Limited	0	0th	0	0	+0	GovernanceStable
IFCIIFCI Limited	13	67th	-5	8	+0	Earnings QualityStable
HUDCOHousing & Urban Development Corporation Limited	18	83th	-5	11	+0	GovernanceStable