Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹126.14(▲9.99%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

JAYBARMARUJAYBARMARU Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: JAYBARMARU Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Auto Components & Equipments

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

14 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

60.3th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹126.14▲9.99%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Stability Adjustment

+14.0 pts

Final Composite Risk14 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 10 → 14 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Relative Growth Weakness
Working Capital Expansion

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Inventory turnover
Working capital efficiency

Active Risk Objects (7)

CriticalHigh

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

JAYBARMARU: Net Profit collapsed by 66.5% from FY2024 Q2 to FY2025 Q2.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

Inventory growth (46.5%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (-9.4%).

"Inventory overhang is clearing. Stock levels are normalizing as sales momentum returns."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 3 Years

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Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 14.3%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (12.8%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Capex Efficiency Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Aggressive Capex (15.2%) amidst slow revenue growth (5.0%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 6 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ3 FY2025

JAYBARMARU: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of 1.62x in FY2025 Q3 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"The ability to cover interest is strengthening as earnings improve or debt is retired."

Revenue-Debt Divergence

🏛️ Solvency & LeverageAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalFY2025

JAYBARMARU: Revenue fell 0.1% while Debt rose 35.1% in 2025 vs 2024.

"Debt servicing metrics have improved recently. The company is actively deleveraging."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	6.67	5.20	⚠️ HIGH
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+52.0	+55.5	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Auto Components & Equipments (n=74 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹126.14(+9.99%)

1M Divergence+35.95%

1 Week+8.96%

1 Month+38.22%

6 Months+45.94%

1 Year+60.08%

2 Year+26.53%

3 Year+85.42%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

JAYBARMARU • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.89%

Trend QualityDeveloping

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score85%

Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)

Probability of Advancing89%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+1.4324σ

Strong positive momentum leadership

Universe Rank#147 of 2716

Top 5.41% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+9.0%

1M+38.2%

6M+45.9%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹93.13

200 DMA₹93.37

150 DMA Slope+0.1845%Rising

Relative Strength+50.38%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)3.3501

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (10.5).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
JAYBARMARUJAYBARMARU	14	60th	-5	7	+0	GovernanceStable
ALICONAlicon Castalloy Limited	20	74th	-5	18	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
ASAHIINDIAAsahi India Glass Limited	28	88th	-5	19	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
ARE&MAmara Raja Energy & Mobility Limited	30	89th	-5	19	+0	Earnings QualityWatch