Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹361.4(▲1.32%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

JNKINDIAJNKINDIA Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: JNKINDIA Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Industrial Products

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

6 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

9.1th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹361.4▲1.32%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Stability Adjustment

+6.0 pts

Final Composite Risk6 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 6 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Industrial Margin Stress
Working Capital Expansion

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Working capital efficiency
Operating cash flow

Active Risk Objects (8)

CriticalHigh

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

JNKINDIA: EBITDA margin compressed by 8.6 bps YoY.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 3 Years

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Impact Weight10/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 81.7%.

"Working capital pressure is receding. Cash previously locked in operations is being released."

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs

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Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

JNKINDIA: Net Profit collapsed by 82.3% from FY2025 Q1 to FY2026 Q1.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

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Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

JNKINDIA: OCF below Net Profit in 3/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Negative FCF Streak

⚖️ Governance SignalsAnnualActive for 1 Years

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Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

JNKINDIA: Negative Free Cash Flow for last 3 consecutive years.

"High capital expenditure and low OCF are draining cash. Debt levels may rise sharply."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

Inventory growth (95.1%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (-78.3%).

"Inventory overhang is clearing. Stock levels are normalizing as sales momentum returns."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 2 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

JNKINDIA: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of 1.54x in FY2026 Q1 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"The ability to cover interest is strengthening as earnings improve or debt is retired."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	5.64	8.74	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+60.0	+45.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Industrial Products (n=45 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹361.4(+1.32%)

1M Divergence-2.06%

1 Week-4.28%

1 Month+0.21%

6 Months+59.62%

1 Year+7.08%

2 Year-40.65%

3 Year-47.89%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

JNKINDIA • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.90%

Trend QualityStabilizing

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score70%

Readiness LabelModerate (Transition Potential Building)

Probability of Advancing90%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+1.3152σ

Strong positive momentum leadership

Universe Rank#169 of 2716

Top 6.22% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-4.3%

1M+0.2%

6M+59.6%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹270.6

200 DMA₹277.11

150 DMA Slope+3.6192%Rising

Relative Strength+58.25%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)2.2128

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (21).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
JNKINDIAJNKINDIA	6	9th	-5	8	+0	GovernanceStable
AARONAaron Industries Limited	7	11th	0	7	+0	Earnings QualityStable
ANUPThe Anup Engineering Limited	35	77th	+20	14	+2	Earnings QualityWatch
ATAMAtam Valves Limited	35	77th	0	11	+0	Earnings QualityWatch