Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹320.1(▼1.02%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

KALPATARUKALPATARU Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: KALPATARU Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Residential Commercial Projects

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹6,732 Cr

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

2 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

22.4th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹320.1▼1.02%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Stability Adjustment

+2.0 pts

Final Composite Risk2 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 2 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Low Interest Coverage

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 3 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

KALPATARU: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of -4.30x in FY2026 Q3 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"The ability to cover interest is strengthening as earnings improve or debt is retired."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	1.09	5.31	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+64.0	+56.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Residential Commercial Projects (n=50 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

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Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹320.1(-1.02%)

1M Divergence-2.1%

1 Week-4.1%

1 Month-1.72%

6 Months-2.96%

1 YearN/A

2 Year-19.3%

3 Year-19.3%

Sector Average (1M)+0.38%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

KALPATARU • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.1%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score15%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing1%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.2323σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1488 of 2716

Top 54.79% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-4.1%

1M-1.7%

6M-3.0%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹336.98

200 DMA₹349.51

150 DMA Slope-1.3987%Declining

Relative Strength+2.35%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.8783

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (10).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
KALPATARUKALPATARU	2	22th	-5	1	+0	GovernanceStable
AGIILAgi Infra Limited	5	31th	+5	1	+1	Competitive PositionStable
ALEMBICLTDAlembic Limited	16	65th	+16	4	+1	Earnings QualityStable
AMJLANDAmj Land Holdings Limited	35	80th	+35	3	+1	Earnings QualityWatch