Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹2,831.6(▲4.82%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

KDDLKDDL Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: KDDL Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Gems Jewellery And Watches

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress

Flagium AI Risk Score

15 / 100

+3 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in balance sheet stress. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

65.2th %ile (Sector)Accel: +2 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹2,831.6▲4.82%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress

+8.0 pts

Earnings Quality

+6.6 pts

Final Composite Risk15 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 5 → 15 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Margin Compression
Inventory Stress
Industrial Margin Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating cash flow
Working capital efficiency
Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (6)

CriticalHigh

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalFY2026

KDDL: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by -2.2%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Operating Leverage Stress

📉 Trend DeteriorationAnnualActive for 5 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Margin Compression

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

Operating margin declined by 2.4 bps YoY for two consecutive quarters.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

Inventory growth (34.3%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (20.8%).

"Inventory overhang is clearing. Stock levels are normalizing as sales momentum returns."

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

KDDL: EBITDA margin compressed by 2.1 bps YoY.

"Operating efficiency is stabilizing. The rate of margin deterioration has slowed."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	3.33	6.37	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+51.0	+52.5	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Gems Jewellery And Watches (n=24 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹2,831.6(+4.82%)

1M Divergence+17.18%

1 Week+4.95%

1 Month+19.45%

6 Months+19.37%

1 Year+9.02%

2 Year+13.59%

3 Year+119.91%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in balance sheet stress remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of core structural metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

KDDL • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.24%

Trend QualityStabilizing

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score55%

Readiness LabelModerate (Transition Potential Building)

Probability of Advancing24%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.6702σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#360 of 2716

Top 13.25% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+5.0%

1M+19.4%

6M+19.4%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹2,391.5

200 DMA₹2,424.2

150 DMA Slope-0.6008%Declining

Relative Strength+20.61%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)2.9947

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (13.5).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
AUSOMENTAusom Enterprise Limited	12	43th	+1	11	+3	Earnings QualityStable
KDDLKDDL	15	65th	+3	6	+2	Balance Sheet StressStable
RADHIKAJWERADHIKAJWE	26	96th	-6	11	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
LGHLLGHL	35	100th	+20	22	+1	Earnings QualityWatch