KIRLPNUKirloskar Pneumatic Company Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Compressors Pumps & Diesel Engines
Risk ClassStable
Market Cap₹7,438 Cr
Primary DriverGovernance
Flagium AI Risk Score
Stable structural profile. Financial profile appears resilient.
1 / 100
-5 QoQ
Improving
Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

8.3th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs
Updated2026-06-02
Market View
₹1,578.5▲1.62%
PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Stability Adjustment
+1.0 pts
Final Composite Risk1 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 1 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction
🟢 Improving
Primary Deterioration Drivers
  • Inventory Stress
  • Working Capital Expansion
  • Operating Leverage Stress
What to Watch Next Quarter
  • Working capital efficiency
  • Inventory turnover
  • Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (3)

CriticalHigh
Working Capital Expansion
💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 1 Years
More Detail
Impact Weight10/15
MomentumDecaying
Last SignalQ2 FY2024
Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 254.1%.

"Working capital pressure is receding. Cash previously locked in operations is being released."

Inventory Stress
📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years
More Detail
Impact Weight15/15
MomentumAccelerating
Last SignalQ2 FY2026
Inventory growth (8.9%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (-9.9%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Operating Leverage Stress
📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years
More Detail
Impact Weight10/15
MomentumAccelerating
Last SignalQ3 FY2026
Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Risk Trajectory
Historical 12-quarter risk trend (Q-11 to Q0) followed by a 2-quarter predictive funnel (Q+1, Q+2).
Loading Chart
Resilience Matrix
Diagnostic benchmarking comparing structural sensitivity and risk buffers against sector medians.
MetricValuevs SectorSignal
Volatility (σ)4.827.92✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)11.00✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.5%5%✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer+65.0+58.0✅ RESILIENT
Forensic Benchmark Context: Compressors Pumps & Diesel Engines (n=13 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart
Share Price
Risk Score (0-100)
Market Performance
₹1,578.5(+1.62%)
1M Divergence+2.74%
1 Week-5.02%
1 Month+5%
6 Months+49.6%
1 Year+21.3%
2 Year+30.61%
3 Year+173.44%
Sector Average (1M)+2.27%
Sentinel Forensic Assessment
ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

KIRLPNU • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.88%
Trend QualityStabilizing
Phase Progression
Phase Progression Score70%
Readiness LabelModerate (Transition Potential Building)
Probability of Advancing88%
CoinTree Momentum
Composite Z-Score+1.0793σ
Strong positive momentum leadership
Universe Rank
A cross-sectional rank of this stock's composite momentum score compared to all other tracked equities in the universe. A rank of #1 of 1035 means it has the strongest overall price momentum in the market.
#219 of 2716
Top 8.06% in momentum strength
Timeframe Sparklines
1W-5.0%
1M+5.0%
6M+49.6%
Weinstein Indicators
150 DMA₹1,185.32
200 DMA₹1,198.4
150 DMA Slope+4.4223%Rising
Relative Strength+55.90%Leading
Relative Turnover (RTR)3.1535
ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (8).
KIRLPNUKirloskar Pneumatic Company Limited
1 Risk
Sector %ile8th
Delta-5
Active Flags3
Accel+0
Governance

Stable

CUMMINSINDCummins India Limited
5 Risk
Sector %ile17th
Delta+5
Active Flags8
Accel+1
Balance Sheet Stress

Stable

KIRLOSBROSKirloskar Brothers Limited
15 Risk
Sector %ile58th
Delta+5
Active Flags7
Accel+3
Competitive Position

Stable

INGERRANDIngersoll Rand (India) Limited
35 Risk
Sector %ile83th
Delta-8
Active Flags18
Accel+0
Earnings Quality

Watch

* Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.

Risk Profiles

Solvency
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Governance
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Earnings Quality
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Balance Sheet Stress
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Competitive Position
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Growth Sustainability
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)

Deterioration Timeline

2026

Operating Leverage Stress

2026

Operating Leverage Stress

2026

Inventory Stress

2024

Inventory Stress

2024

Working Capital Expansion

Key Financials (INR Cr)

PeriodRevenueNet ProfitOCFDebt
FY20261,8152542333
FY20251,66221121510
FY20241,342133183-
FY20231,25110940-