Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹434(▲0.51%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

KKCLKKCL Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: KKCL Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Garments & Apparels

Risk ClassWatch

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress

Flagium AI Risk Score

25 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in balance sheet stress. This suggests the risk profile is currently stabilizing. Risk levels are improving.

81.3th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹434▲0.51%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress

+8.0 pts

Stability Adjustment

+17.0 pts

Final Composite Risk25 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 5 → 25 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Margin Compression
Inventory Stress
Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Inventory turnover
Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (5)

CriticalHigh

Margin Compression

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Operating margin declined by 7.7 bps YoY for two consecutive quarters.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Inventory growth (64.7%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (5.4%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"The balance sheet is heavily over-leveraged. Interest payments are consuming most of the profit."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalFY2026

KKCL: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by -8.0%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	5	5.02	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+41.0	+56.0	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Garments & Apparels (n=17 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹434(+0.51%)

1M Divergence-10.47%

1 Week-1.64%

1 Month-8.2%

6 Months-14.17%

1 Year-0.8%

2 Year-35.43%

3 Year-9.31%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The risk profile is Early Signals and currently improving. Recent structural triggers in balance sheet stress suggest a building pressure on the underlying framework. Material forensic traces are visible in core structural metrics, indicating a progressive erosion of structural stability. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

KKCL • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.0%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score0%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing0%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.6467σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#2262 of 2716

Top 83.28% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-1.6%

1M-8.2%

6M-14.2%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹479.66

200 DMA₹492.77

150 DMA Slope-2.5721%Declining

Relative Strength-6.55%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)0.5837

ParticipationWeak

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company shows higher risk compared to the Sector Mean (10).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
KKCLKKCL	25	81th	-5	5	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
LUXINDLux Industries Limited	30	88th	-5	18	+0	Earnings QualityWatch
GOKEXGokaldas Exports Limited	36	94th	+5	26	+1	Earnings QualityWatch
KITEXKitex Garments Limited	40	100th	0	29	+0	Earnings QualityModerate Deterioration