KPILKalpataru Projects International Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Civil Construction
Risk ClassStable
Market Cap₹21,295 Cr
Primary DriverGovernance
Flagium AI Risk Score
Stable structural profile. Financial profile appears resilient.
0 / 100
0 QoQ
Stable
Sentinel Insight

Financial profile is stable with manageable leverage. Pressure has stabilized in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. No major change in risk trend.

0.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs
Updated2026-06-02
Market View
1,290.80.84%
PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

No active forensic penalties contributing.
Final Composite Risk0 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 100 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction
⚠ Watch
Primary Deterioration Drivers
  • Low Interest Coverage
What to Watch Next Quarter
  • Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh
Low Interest Coverage
💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 6 Qtrs
More Detail
Impact Weight8/15
MomentumDecaying
Last SignalQ3 FY2025
KPIL: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of 2.23x in FY2025 Q3 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"The ability to cover interest is strengthening as earnings improve or debt is retired."

Risk Trajectory
Historical 12-quarter risk trend (Q-11 to Q0) followed by a 2-quarter predictive funnel (Q+1, Q+2).
Loading Chart
Resilience Matrix
Diagnostic benchmarking comparing structural sensitivity and risk buffers against sector medians.
MetricValuevs SectorSignal
Volatility (σ)1.674.13✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)11.00✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.5%5%✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer+66.0+56.0✅ RESILIENT
Forensic Benchmark Context: Civil Construction (n=53 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart
Share Price
Risk Score (0-100)
Market Performance
1,290.8(-0.84%)
1M Divergence+2.86%
1 Week-0.49%
1 Month+3.24%
6 Months+10.4%
1 Year+13.07%
2 Year+9.59%
3 Year+147.56%
Sector Average (1M)+0.38%
Sentinel Forensic Assessment
ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

KPIL • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.56%
Trend QualityStabilizing
Phase Progression
Phase Progression Score67.5%
Readiness LabelModerate (Transition Potential Building)
Probability of Advancing56%
CoinTree Momentum
Composite Z-Score+0.1327σ
Improving momentum strength
Universe Rank
A cross-sectional rank of this stock's composite momentum score compared to all other tracked equities in the universe. A rank of #1 of 1035 means it has the strongest overall price momentum in the market.
#769 of 2716
Top 28.31% in momentum strength
Timeframe Sparklines
1W-0.5%
1M+3.2%
6M+10.4%
Weinstein Indicators
150 DMA1,184.84
200 DMA1,202.87
150 DMA Slope+0.1396%Rising
Relative Strength+14.24%Leading
Relative Turnover (RTR)0.8957
ParticipationNeutral

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (10).

* Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.

Risk Profiles

Solvency
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Governance
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Earnings Quality
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Balance Sheet Stress
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Competitive Position
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Growth Sustainability
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)

Deterioration Timeline

2025

Low Interest Coverage

2025

Low Interest Coverage

2025

Low Interest Coverage

2024

Low Interest Coverage

2024

Low Interest Coverage

2024

Low Interest Coverage

Key Financials (INR Cr)

PeriodRevenueNet ProfitOCFDebt
FY202627,2481,0311,5343,307
FY202522,3785679144,189
FY202419,6905168433,910
FY202316,4014356563,683