Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹399.3(▲1.31%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

KRISHIVALKRISHIVAL Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: KRISHIVAL Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Other Food Products

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress

Flagium AI Risk Score

14 / 100

+5 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in balance sheet stress. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

66.7th %ile (Sector)Accel: +1 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹399.3▲1.31%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress

+13.5 pts

Final Composite Risk14 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 14 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Working Capital Expansion

What to Watch Next Quarter

Working capital efficiency
Inventory turnover

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 165.9%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Inventory growth (82.8%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (-60.3%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	3.09	5.77	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+52.0	+53.5	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Other Food Products (n=4 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

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Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹399.3(+1.31%)

1M Divergence+14.98%

1 Week+1.27%

1 Month+17.25%

6 Months-15.37%

1 Year+38.67%

2 Year+59.92%

3 Year+37.93%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in balance sheet stress remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of core structural metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

KRISHIVAL • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.1%

Trend QualityEarly Base

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score25%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing1%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.3097σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#593 of 2716

Top 21.83% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+1.3%

1M+17.3%

6M-15.4%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹376.52

200 DMA₹393.62

150 DMA Slope-3.2083%Declining

Relative Strength-10.64%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)0.3090

ParticipationWeak

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (12.5).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
MANORAMAManorama Industries Limited	5	0th	+5	7	+1	Balance Sheet StressStable
KRISHIVALKRISHIVAL	14	67th	+5	2	+1	Balance Sheet StressStable
EIDPARRYEID Parry India Limited	35	100th	+34	14	+1	Earnings QualityWatch