Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹72.13(▲1.18%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

LLOYDSENGGLLOYDS ENGINEERING WORKS LIMITED Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: LLOYDS ENGINEERING WORKS LIMITED Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Industrial Products

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹5,423 Cr

Primary DriverGrowth Sustainability

Flagium AI Risk Score

14 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in growth sustainability. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

22.7th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹72.13▲1.18%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Growth Sustainability

+10.0 pts

Stability Adjustment

+4.0 pts

Final Composite Risk14 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 11 → 14 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Working Capital Expansion
Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Working capital efficiency
Inventory turnover
Operating cash flow

Active Risk Objects (5)

CriticalHigh

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 200.7%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Inventory growth (402.0%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (111.0%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalFY2026

LLOYDSENGG: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Negative FCF Streak

⚖️ Governance SignalsAnnualActive for 1 Years

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Impact Weight6/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalFY2024

LLOYDSENGG: Negative Free Cash Flow for last 3 consecutive years.

"Free cash flow pressure is easing as capital intensity or working capital stress recedes."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	6.08	8.74	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+52.0	+45.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Industrial Products (n=45 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹72.13(+1.18%)

1M Divergence+22.59%

1 Week-6.34%

1 Month+24.86%

6 Months+43.8%

1 Year+22.34%

2 Year+11.69%

3 Year+70.8%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in growth sustainability remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of core structural metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

LLOYDSENGG • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.91%

Trend QualityStabilizing

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score70%

Readiness LabelModerate (Transition Potential Building)

Probability of Advancing91%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+1.6993σ

Strong positive momentum leadership

Universe Rank#116 of 2716

Top 4.27% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-6.3%

1M+24.9%

6M+43.8%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹53.85

200 DMA₹56.29

150 DMA Slope+2.1543%Rising

Relative Strength+49.29%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)2.6835

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (21).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
AARONAaron Industries Limited	7	11th	0	7	+0	Earnings QualityStable
LLOYDSENGGLLOYDS ENGINEERING WORKS LIMITED	14	23th	-5	5	+0	Growth SustainabilityStable
ANUPThe Anup Engineering Limited	35	77th	+20	14	+2	Earnings QualityWatch
ATAMAtam Valves Limited	35	77th	0	11	+0	Earnings QualityWatch