Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹1,821.7(▲0.23%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

LLOYDSMELloyds Metals And Energy Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Lloyds Metals And Energy Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Industrial Minerals

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹71,089 Cr

Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress

Flagium AI Risk Score

15 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in balance sheet stress. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

42.9th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹1,821.7▲0.23%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress

+14.8 pts

Final Composite Risk15 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 15 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Relative Growth Weakness
Working Capital Expansion

What to Watch Next Quarter

Working capital efficiency
Operating profit margins
Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (7)

CriticalHigh

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 5 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 73.6%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (12.8%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Capex Efficiency Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

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Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2024

Aggressive Capex (51.8%) amidst slow revenue growth (-83.1%).

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

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Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"The balance sheet is heavily over-leveraged. Interest payments are consuming most of the profit."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Inventory growth (435.2%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (152.2%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

LLOYDSME: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Negative FCF Streak

⚖️ Governance SignalsAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

LLOYDSME: Negative Free Cash Flow for last 3 consecutive years.

"High capital expenditure and low OCF are draining cash. Debt levels may rise sharply."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	8.64	9.59	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+51.0	+51.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Industrial Minerals (n=8 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹1,821.7(+0.23%)

1M Divergence+0.98%

1 Week-1.73%

1 Month+3.25%

6 Months+52.34%

1 Year+34.59%

2 Year+168.33%

3 Year+190.2%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in balance sheet stress remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of core structural metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

LLOYDSME • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 2 — Advancing

The company is in a growth phase. Institutional sentiment is highly positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sustained risk reduction.

Stage Transition Prob.98%

Trend QualityStrong

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score100%

Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)

Probability of Advancing98%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+1.2590σ

Strong positive momentum leadership

Universe Rank#180 of 2716

Top 6.63% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-1.7%

1M+3.3%

6M+52.3%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹1,366.07

200 DMA₹1,356.12

150 DMA Slope+4.6144%Rising

Relative Strength+57.83%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.6658

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (15).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
20MICRONS20 Microns Limited	5	0th	-5	7	+0	GovernanceStable
LLOYDSMELloyds Metals And Energy Limited	15	43th	-5	7	+0	Balance Sheet StressStable
ASHAPURMINAshapura Minechem Limited	35	86th	+22	18	+1	Earnings QualityWatch
NMDCNMDC Limited	35	86th	+17	15	+1	Earnings QualityWatch