Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹1,294.8(▲2.73%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

NILKAMALNILKAMAL Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: NILKAMAL Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Plastic Products - Consumer

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

0 / 100

-1 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Minor improvements are visible in the risk trend.

0.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹1,294.8▲2.73%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

No active forensic penalties contributing.

Final Composite Risk0 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 0 → 0 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Operating Leverage Stress
Capex Efficiency Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Debt growth
Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Capex Efficiency Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

Aggressive Capex (20.2%) amidst slow revenue growth (5.4%).

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	2	4.20	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+66.0	+63.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Plastic Products - Consumer (n=4 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹1,294.8(+2.73%)

1M Divergence-2.56%

1 Week+1.7%

1 Month-0.29%

6 Months-6.43%

1 Year-25.56%

2 Year-26.68%

3 Year-41.09%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

NILKAMAL • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.0%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score15%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing0%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.2958σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1633 of 2716

Top 60.13% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+1.7%

1M-0.3%

6M-6.4%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹1,368.08

200 DMA₹1,417.63

150 DMA Slope-2.6788%Declining

Relative Strength-2.07%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.2165

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (3).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
NILKAMALNILKAMAL	0	0th	-1	2	+0	GovernanceStable
AVROINDAVRO INDIA LIMITED	0	0th	0	9	+0	GovernanceStable
VIPINDVIP Industries Limited	42	100th	0	38	+0	Earnings QualityModerate Deterioration