Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹65.9(▲8.8%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

PARACABLESPARACABLES Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: PARACABLES Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Cables - Electricals

Risk ClassWatch

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress

Flagium AI Risk Score

20 / 100

-15 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in balance sheet stress. This suggests the risk profile is currently stabilizing. Risk levels are improving.

62.5th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹65.9▲8.8%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress

+13.5 pts

Earnings Quality

+6.6 pts

Final Composite Risk20 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 5 → 20 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Margin Compression
Inventory Stress
Industrial Margin Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Working capital efficiency
Operating profit margins
Operating cash flow

Active Risk Objects (7)

CriticalHigh

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 76.5%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Margin Compression

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

Operating margin declined by 5.5 bps YoY for two consecutive quarters.

"Margins are in freefall. Operating costs are growing significantly faster than revenue."

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

PARACABLES: EBITDA margin compressed by 2.6 bps YoY.

"Margins are in freefall. Operating costs are growing significantly faster than revenue."

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

PARACABLES: Net Profit collapsed by 66.9% from FY2025 Q3 to FY2026 Q3.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalFY2026

PARACABLES: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2024

Inventory growth (130.9%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (17.9%).

"Inventory overhang is clearing. Stock levels are normalizing as sales momentum returns."

Operating Leverage Stress

📉 Trend DeteriorationAnnualActive for 5 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	6.25	6.78	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+46.0	+48.0	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Cables - Electricals (n=9 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹65.9(+8.8%)

1M Divergence+64.86%

1 Week-1.08%

1 Month+67.13%

6 Months+75.83%

1 Year+19.15%

2 Year-16.1%

3 Year+72.74%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The risk profile is Early Signals and currently improving. Recent structural triggers in balance sheet stress suggest a building pressure on the underlying framework. Material forensic traces are visible in core structural metrics, indicating a progressive erosion of structural stability. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

PARACABLES • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.92%

Trend QualityDeveloping

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score85%

Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)

Probability of Advancing92%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+3.2165σ

Strong positive momentum leadership

Universe Rank#31 of 2716

Top 1.14% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-1.1%

1M+67.1%

6M+75.8%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹39.77

200 DMA₹41.43

150 DMA Slope+4.6558%Rising

Relative Strength+81.32%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)3.9447

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (18).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
FINCABLESFinolex Cables Limited	18	50th	+5	15	+1	Earnings QualityStable
PARACABLESPARACABLES	20	63th	-15	7	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
AURIGROWAuri Grow India Limited	31	88th	-5	18	+0	Earnings QualityWatch
QUADFUTUREQUADFUTURE	35	100th	+11	16	+1	Balance Sheet StressWatch