Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹137.88(▲0.91%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

PROSTARMPROSTARM Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: PROSTARM Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Other Electrical Equipment

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress

Flagium AI Risk Score

14 / 100

+11 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in balance sheet stress. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

54.5th %ile (Sector)Accel: +1 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹137.88▲0.91%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress

+13.5 pts

Final Composite Risk14 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 14 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🚨 Escalate

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Industrial Margin Stress
Working Capital Expansion

What to Watch Next Quarter

Working capital efficiency
Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 82.9%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

PROSTARM: EBITDA margin compressed by 6.8 bps YoY.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	3.27	5.89	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+52.0	+54.0	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Other Electrical Equipment (n=23 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹137.88(+0.91%)

1M Divergence-14.63%

1 Week-3.79%

1 Month-12.36%

6 Months-23.81%

1 YearN/A

2 Year-3.4%

3 Year-3.4%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in balance sheet stress remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of core structural metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

PROSTARM • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.0%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score0%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing0%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.5976σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#2200 of 2716

Top 81.00% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-3.8%

1M-12.4%

6M-23.8%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹156.89

200 DMA₹167.98

150 DMA Slope-3.7105%Declining

Relative Strength-20.89%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)0.3673

ParticipationWeak

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (12).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
APARINDSApar Industries Limited	7	23th	+1	9	+2	Earnings QualityStable
PROSTARMPROSTARM	14	55th	+11	2	+1	Balance Sheet StressStable
SERVOTECHSERVOTECH	28	95th	-5	18	+0	GovernanceWatch
URJAURJA	35	100th	+25	21	+3	Earnings QualityWatch