Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹3,487.5(▼0.53%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

RADICORadico Khaitan Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Radico Khaitan Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Breweries & Distilleries

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹34,996 Cr

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

0 / 100

0 QoQ

Stable

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure has stabilized in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. No major change in risk trend.

0.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹3,487.5▼0.53%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

No active forensic penalties contributing.

Final Composite Risk0 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 4 → 0 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Cash Conversion Deficit

What to Watch Next Quarter

Inventory turnover
Operating cash flow

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

Inventory growth (38.1%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (15.1%).

"Inventory overhang is clearing. Stock levels are normalizing as sales momentum returns."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalFY2024

RADICO: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion has normalized in the latest period. Operational cash flow is back in sync."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	2.83	9.05	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+66.0	+52.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Breweries & Distilleries (n=14 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹3,487.5(-0.53%)

1M Divergence-0.39%

1 Week-2.54%

1 Month+1.88%

6 Months+8.44%

1 Year+37.02%

2 Year+121.93%

3 Year+192.87%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

RADICO • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 2 — Advancing

The company is in a growth phase. Institutional sentiment is highly positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sustained risk reduction.

Stage Transition Prob.96%

Trend QualityStrong

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score75%

Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)

Probability of Advancing96%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.5346σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#433 of 2716

Top 15.94% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-2.5%

1M+1.9%

6M+8.4%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹3,074.08

200 DMA₹3,034.95

150 DMA Slope+2.2563%Rising

Relative Strength+12.35%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.2561

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (14).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
RADICORadico Khaitan Limited	0	0th	0	2	+0	GovernanceStable
BCLINDBcl Industries Limited	5	8th	+5	13	+1	Competitive PositionStable
ASALCBRAssociated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd.	34	77th	-3	19	+0	Competitive PositionWatch
ABDLAllied Blenders and Distillers Limited	35	85th	+20	15	+1	Competitive PositionWatch