Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹1,080.5(▲8.24%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

ROSSTECHROSSTECH Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: ROSSTECH Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Aerospace & Defense

Risk ClassWatch

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress

Flagium AI Risk Score

30 / 100

+10 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in balance sheet stress. This suggests a building risk profile. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

60.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +1 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹1,080.5▲8.24%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress

+15.0 pts

Earnings Quality

+15.0 pts

Final Composite Risk30 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 30 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🚨 Escalate

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Margin Compression
Inventory Stress
Industrial Margin Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Inventory turnover
Working capital efficiency

Active Risk Objects (6)

CriticalHigh

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 4 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

ROSSTECH: EBITDA margin compressed by 4.5 bps YoY.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Margin Compression

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Operating margin declined by 3.6 bps YoY for two consecutive quarters.

"Margins are in freefall. Operating costs are growing significantly faster than revenue."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

Inventory growth (5.2%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (-80.4%).

"Inventory overhang is clearing. Stock levels are normalizing as sales momentum returns."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by -3.4%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 5 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

ROSSTECH: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of 2.25x in FY2026 Q4 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"Earnings buffer for interest payments is narrowing. Monitor for margin pressure."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	5.45	7.38	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+36.0	+46.0	📈 CRITICAL

Forensic Benchmark Context: Aerospace & Defense (n=21 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹1,080.5(+8.24%)

1M Divergence+6.91%

1 Week+6.41%

1 Month+9.17%

6 Months+46.44%

1 Year+191.32%

2 Year+135.55%

3 Year+135.55%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The risk profile is Early Signals and currently deteriorating. Recent structural triggers in balance sheet stress suggest a building pressure on the underlying framework. Material forensic traces are visible in core structural metrics, indicating a progressive erosion of structural stability. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

ROSSTECH • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 2 — Advancing

The company is in a growth phase. Institutional sentiment is highly positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sustained risk reduction.

Stage Transition Prob.97%

Trend QualityStrong

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score92.5%

Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)

Probability of Advancing97%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+1.5321σ

Strong positive momentum leadership

Universe Rank#134 of 2716

Top 4.93% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+6.4%

1M+9.2%

6M+46.4%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹747.4

200 DMA₹734.63

150 DMA Slope+4.5808%Rising

Relative Strength+51.93%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.0579

ParticipationNeutral

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company shows higher risk compared to the Sector Mean (20).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
APOLLOApollo Micro Systems Limited	0	0th	0	10	+0	GovernanceStable
AEQUSAequs Limited	20	50th	+15	3	+2	Balance Sheet StressWatch
ROSSTECHROSSTECH	30	60th	+10	6	+1	Balance Sheet StressWatch
DCXINDIADCXINDIA	53	100th	+18	29	+1	Earnings QualityModerate Deterioration