Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹584.15(▲1.49%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

SIYSILSIYSIL Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: SIYSIL Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Other Textile Products

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

7 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

12.2th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹584.15▲1.49%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Stability Adjustment

+7.0 pts

Final Composite Risk7 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 9 → 7 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Industrial Margin Stress
Operating Leverage Stress
Working Capital Expansion

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Operating cash flow
Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (8)

CriticalHigh

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

SIYSIL: EBITDA margin compressed by 4.0 bps YoY and Raw material costs consumed an additional 6.7% of revenue YoY.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 2 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

SIYSIL: Net Profit collapsed by 59.7% from FY2025 Q1 to FY2026 Q1.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalFY2026

SIYSIL: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Low Interest Coverage

💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

SIYSIL: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of 1.99x in FY2026 Q1 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"The ability to cover interest is strengthening as earnings improve or debt is retired."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ1 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Capex Efficiency Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

Aggressive Capex (16.7%) amidst slow revenue growth (5.3%).

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2024

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 25.5%.

"Working capital pressure is receding. Cash previously locked in operations is being released."

Revenue-Debt Divergence

🏛️ Solvency & LeverageAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalFY2024

SIYSIL: Revenue fell 6.3% while Debt rose 9.8% in 2024 vs 2023.

"Debt servicing metrics have improved recently. The company is actively deleveraging."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	5	8.38	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+59.0	+42.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Other Textile Products (n=42 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹584.15(+1.49%)

1M Divergence+1.08%

1 Week-1.17%

1 Month+3.35%

6 Months-13.71%

1 Year-18.63%

2 Year+38.44%

3 Year+18.56%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

SIYSIL • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.0%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score0%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing0%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.0717σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1138 of 2716

Top 41.90% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-1.2%

1M+3.4%

6M-13.7%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹597.81

200 DMA₹611.58

150 DMA Slope-2.4799%Declining

Relative Strength-8.22%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.2134

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (24).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
BANSWRASBanswara Syntex Limited	6	7th	+5	17	+1	Competitive PositionStable
SIYSILSIYSIL	7	12th	-5	8	+0	GovernanceStable
AKSHARAkshar Spintex Limited	23	44th	-5	19	+0	GovernanceWatch
ABCOTSA B Cotspin India Limited	25	51th	-5	10	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch