Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹559.7(▲7.22%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

SKYGOLDSKY GOLD AND DIAMONDS LIMITED Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: SKY GOLD AND DIAMONDS LIMITED Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Gems Jewellery And Watches

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹5,393 Cr

Primary DriverEarnings Quality

Flagium AI Risk Score

9 / 100

+5 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in profitability and earnings quality. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

34.8th %ile (Sector)Accel: +1 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹559.7▲7.22%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality

+10.8 pts

Stability Adjustment

-2.0 pts

Final Composite Risk9 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 9 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Industrial Margin Stress
Working Capital Expansion

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Operating cash flow
Inventory turnover

Active Risk Objects (5)

CriticalHigh

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

SKYGOLD: Raw material costs consumed an additional 13.9% of revenue YoY.

"Margins are in freefall. Operating costs are growing significantly faster than revenue."

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

SKYGOLD: OCF below Net Profit in 3/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Negative FCF Streak

⚖️ Governance SignalsAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

SKYGOLD: Negative Free Cash Flow for last 3 consecutive years.

"High capital expenditure and low OCF are draining cash. Debt levels may rise sharply."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

Inventory growth (215.2%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (98.7%).

"Inventory overhang is clearing. Stock levels are normalizing as sales momentum returns."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 5 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 36.7%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	5.55	6.37	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+57.0	+52.5	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Gems Jewellery And Watches (n=24 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹559.7(+7.22%)

1M Divergence+21.04%

1 Week+16.53%

1 Month+23.31%

6 Months+66.85%

1 Year+42.25%

2 Year+377.11%

3 Year+1308.05%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in earnings quality remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of operational margins and profitability metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

SKYGOLD • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 2 — Advancing

The company is in a growth phase. Institutional sentiment is highly positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sustained risk reduction.

Stage Transition Prob.99%

Trend QualityStrong

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score100%

Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)

Probability of Advancing99%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+2.2050σ

Strong positive momentum leadership

Universe Rank#79 of 2716

Top 2.91% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+16.5%

1M+23.3%

6M+66.8%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹367.91

200 DMA₹349.74

150 DMA Slope+6.7368%Rising

Relative Strength+72.34%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.9871

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (13.5).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
SKYGOLDSKY GOLD AND DIAMONDS LIMITED	9	35th	+5	5	+1	Earnings QualityStable
AUSOMENTAusom Enterprise Limited	12	43th	+1	11	+3	Earnings QualityStable
BANARBEADSBanaras Beads Limited	25	91th	-5	11	+0	Earnings QualityWatch
LGHLLGHL	35	100th	+20	22	+1	Earnings QualityWatch