Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹2,745.3(▲1.82%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

SRFSRF Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: SRF Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Specialty Chemicals

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹75,126 Cr

Primary DriverCompetitive Position

Flagium AI Risk Score

10 / 100

0 QoQ

Stable

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure has stabilized in competitive position. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. No major change in risk trend.

14.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹2,745.3▲1.82%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Competitive Position

+9.6 pts

Final Composite Risk10 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 10 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Relative Growth Weakness
Profit Collapse

What to Watch Next Quarter

Inventory turnover
Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (4)

CriticalHigh

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2025

Inventory growth (15.8%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (7.8%).

"Inventory overhang is clearing. Stock levels are normalizing as sales momentum returns."

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ3 FY2024

SRF: Net Profit collapsed by 50.4% from FY2023 Q3 to FY2024 Q3.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Capex Efficiency Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Aggressive Capex (24.0%) amidst slow revenue growth (6.0%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (12.8%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	2.91	10.68	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+56.0	+46.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Specialty Chemicals (n=51 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹2,745.3(+1.82%)

1M Divergence+6.73%

1 Week-0.16%

1 Month+9%

6 Months-3.16%

1 Year-5%

2 Year+24.87%

3 Year+10.25%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in competitive position remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of core structural metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

SRF • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.1%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score32.5%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing1%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.0335σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#928 of 2716

Top 34.17% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-0.2%

1M+9.0%

6M-3.2%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹2,766.46

200 DMA₹2,808.2

150 DMA Slope-1.3474%Declining

Relative Strength+2.33%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.1846

ParticipationNeutral

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (20).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
SRFSRF Limited	10	14th	0	4	+0	Competitive PositionStable
AARTIINDAarti Industries Limited	20	46th	-5	24	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
AETHERAether Industries Limited	21	52th	+18	16	+1	Earnings QualityWatch
ACIArchean Chemical Industries Limited	35	84th	+20	22	+1	Earnings QualityWatch