Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹60.24(▲7.02%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

TARACHANDTARACHAND Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: TARACHAND Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Diversified Commercial Services

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverEarnings Quality

Flagium AI Risk Score

8 / 100

+3 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in profitability and earnings quality. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

50.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +2 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹60.24▲7.02%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality

+8.0 pts

Final Composite Risk8 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 8 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	0.73	3.21	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+58.0	+58.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Diversified Commercial Services (n=25 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

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Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹60.24(+7.02%)

1M Divergence-5.9%

1 Week+5.54%

1 Month-5.52%

6 Months-16.89%

1 Year+2.97%

2 Year-25.78%

3 Year+245.81%

Sector Average (1M)+0.38%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in earnings quality remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of operational margins and profitability metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

TARACHAND • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.0%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score0%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing0%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.3394σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1744 of 2716

Top 64.21% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+5.5%

1M-5.5%

6M-16.9%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹68.53

200 DMA₹70.1

150 DMA Slope-4.0480%Declining

Relative Strength-13.45%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)0.4526

ParticipationWeak

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (8).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
A2ZINFRAA2Z Infra Engineering Limited	3	21th	-5	8	+0	GovernanceStable
TARACHANDTARACHAND	8	50th	+3	1	+2	Earnings QualityStable
CMSINFOCMS Info Systems Limited	31	92th	0	9	+0	Earnings QualityWatch
ACEINTEGAce Integrated Solutions Limited	38	96th	+3	21	+1	Earnings QualityWatch