Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹919.1(▼0.02%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

TCITCI Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: TCI Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Logistics Solution Provider

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

5 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

13.6th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹919.1▼0.02%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Stability Adjustment

+5.0 pts

Final Composite Risk5 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 5 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Relative Growth Weakness
Cash Conversion Deficit

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating cash flow
Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

TCI: OCF below Net Profit in 3/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ3 FY2026

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (11.0%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	1.36	5.73	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+61.0	+52.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Logistics Solution Provider (n=23 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

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Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹919.1(-0.02%)

1M Divergence-1.23%

1 Week+2.13%

1 Month-0.85%

6 Months-13.44%

1 Year-17.89%

2 Year+11.76%

3 Year+33.94%

Sector Average (1M)+0.38%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

TCI • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.0%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score15%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing0%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.5547σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#2152 of 2716

Top 79.23% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+2.1%

1M-0.8%

6M-13.4%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹1,022.5

200 DMA₹1,057.61

150 DMA Slope-3.4214%Declining

Relative Strength-8.90%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.4655

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (14).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
ARSHIYAArshiya Limited	0	0th	0	11	+0	GovernanceStable
TCITCI	5	14th	-5	2	+0	GovernanceStable
ACCURACYAccuracy Shipping Limited	24	86th	+5	20	+2	Competitive PositionWatch
ALLCARGOAllcargo Logistics Limited	30	91th	-5	25	+0	Competitive PositionWatch