UNIONBANKUnion Bank of India Forensic Risk Analysis
Asset quality remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.
Score WaterfallAbsolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.
Investment Risk Thesis
Current risk score has declined from 28 → 11 over 12 quarters.
- GNPA Spike
- CAR Decay
- NIM Compression
- Operating profit margins
Active Risk Objects (3)
"Asset quality signals are beginning to normalize. Historical credit costs are now receding."
"Capital position is strengthening through fresh equity or higher profit retention."
"Pressure on core margins is stabilizing. Monitor for sustained interest income recovery."
Correlation AnalysisVisualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.
The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.
Stage 4 — Declining
The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.
PEER COMPARISON
Ranked comparison against sector peers
Stable
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* Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.
Risk Profiles
Deterioration Timeline
CAR Decay
NIM Compression
NIM Compression
NIM Compression
NIM Compression
NIM Compression
CAR Decay
GNPA Spike
CAR Decay