Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹147.11(▲2.32%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

VINCOFEVINCOFE Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: VINCOFE Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Trading & Distributors

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverEarnings Quality

Flagium AI Risk Score

5 / 100

+5 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in profitability and earnings quality. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

20.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +1 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹147.11▲2.32%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality

+6.4 pts

Stability Adjustment

-1.0 pts

Final Composite Risk5 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 5 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Operating Leverage Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	0.45	6.77	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+61.0	+51.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Trading & Distributors (n=11 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

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Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹147.11(+2.32%)

1M Divergence+7.98%

1 Week-1.77%

1 Month+8.36%

6 Months-9.15%

1 Year+24.59%

2 Year+12.5%

3 Year+12.5%

Sector Average (1M)+0.38%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in earnings quality remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of operational margins and profitability metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

VINCOFE • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.1%

Trend QualityDeteriorating

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score0%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing1%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.0224σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1035 of 2716

Top 38.11% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-1.8%

1M+8.4%

6M-9.2%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹147.96

200 DMA₹147.84

150 DMA Slope-0.7573%Declining

Relative Strength-3.66%Lagging

Relative Turnover (RTR)0.6093

ParticipationWeak

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (15).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
ANIKINDSAnik Industries Limited	0	0th	-5	7	+0	GovernanceStable
VINCOFEVINCOFE	5	20th	+5	1	+1	Earnings QualityStable
ABMINTLLTDABM International Limited	25	80th	-5	25	+0	Competitive PositionWatch
AKGAkg Exim Limited	26	90th	+5	21	+4	Competitive PositionWatch