VLSFINANCEVLSFINANCE Forensic Risk Analysis

Investment Company
Risk ClassStable
Market Cap₹696 Cr
Primary DriverGovernance
Flagium AI Risk Score
Stable structural profile. Financial profile appears resilient.
10 / 100
-5 QoQ
Improving
Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

46.1th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs
Updated2026-06-02
Market View
₹228.98▲1.48%
PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Stability Adjustment
+10.0 pts
Final Composite Risk10 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 16 → 10 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction
🟢 Improving
Primary Deterioration Drivers
  • NIM Compression
What to Watch Next Quarter
  • Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh
NIM Compression
📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 7 Qtrs
More Detail
Impact Weight10/15
MomentumDecaying
Last SignalQ3 FY2026
VLSFINANCE: NIM compressed by 5804 bps YoY (to 133.73%).

"Pressure on core margins is stabilizing. Monitor for sustained interest income recovery."

Risk Trajectory
Historical 12-quarter risk trend (Q-11 to Q0) followed by a 2-quarter predictive funnel (Q+1, Q+2).
Loading Chart
Resilience Matrix
Diagnostic benchmarking comparing structural sensitivity and risk buffers against sector medians.
MetricValuevs SectorSignal
Volatility (σ)4.174.02⚠️ HIGH
Sensitivity (ε_s)11.00✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.5%5%✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer+56.0+56.0✅ RESILIENT
Forensic Benchmark Context: Investment Company (n=27 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart
Share Price
Risk Score (0-100)
Market Performance
₹228.98(+1.48%)
1M Divergence0.00%
1 Week-4.13%
1 Month-0.72%
6 Months-30.06%
1 Year-4.6%
2 Year-8.2%
3 Year+44.36%
Sector Average (1M)-0.73%
Sentinel Forensic Assessment
ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

VLSFINANCE • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.7%
Trend QualityDeteriorating
Phase Progression
Phase Progression Score20%
Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)
Probability of Advancing7%
CoinTree Momentum
Composite Z-Score-0.6302σ
Weakening momentum trend
Universe Rank
A cross-sectional rank of this stock's composite momentum score compared to all other tracked equities in the universe. A rank of #1 of 1035 means it has the strongest overall price momentum in the market.
#2243 of 2716
Top 82.58% in momentum strength
Timeframe Sparklines
1W-4.1%
1M-0.7%
6M-30.1%
Weinstein Indicators
150 DMA₹255.02
200 DMA₹247.02
150 DMA Slope+0.7750%Rising
Relative Strength-20.61%Lagging
Relative Turnover (RTR)0.2200
ParticipationWeak

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (10).
3PLAND3P Land Holdings Limited
5 Risk
Sector %ile31th
Delta+5
Active Flags7
Accel+1
Earnings Quality

Stable

VLSFINANCEVLSFINANCE
10 Risk
Sector %ile46th
Delta-5
Active Flags1
Accel+0
Governance

Stable

* Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.

Risk Profiles

Solvency
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Governance
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Earnings Quality
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Competitive Position
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)

Deterioration Timeline

2026

NIM Compression

2026

NIM Compression

2026

NIM Compression

2025

NIM Compression

2025

NIM Compression

2024

NIM Compression

2024

NIM Compression

Key Financials (INR Cr)

PeriodRevenueNet ProfitOCFDebt
FY20264822-180
FY2025108462001
FY20244183241940
FY2023845671