Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹1,551.8(▼0.27%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

WABAGVA Tech Wabag Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: VA Tech Wabag Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Water Supply & Management

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹7,682 Cr

Primary DriverGovernance

Flagium AI Risk Score

0 / 100

0 QoQ

Stable

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure has stabilized in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. No major change in risk trend.

0.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹1,551.8▼0.27%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

No active forensic penalties contributing.

Final Composite Risk0 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 8 → 0 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Cash Conversion Deficit
Revenue-Debt Divergence

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating cash flow
Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh

Cash Conversion Deficit

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

WABAG: OCF below Net Profit in 2/3 recent years.

"Cash conversion is dangerously low. Operational cash flow is significantly trailing reported PAT."

Revenue-Debt Divergence

🏛️ Solvency & LeverageAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight6/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalFY2024

WABAG: Revenue fell 3.8% while Debt rose 31.6% in 2024 vs 2023.

"Debt servicing metrics have improved recently. The company is actively deleveraging."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	0.67	2.72	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+66.0	+51.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Water Supply & Management (n=5 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹1,551.8(-0.27%)

1M Divergence+5.16%

1 Week+3.02%

1 Month+2.8%

6 Months+11.88%

1 Year-5.64%

2 Year+58.75%

3 Year+234.25%

Sector Average (1M)-2.37%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

WABAG • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.79%

Trend QualityDeveloping

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score75%

Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)

Probability of Advancing79%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.5569σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#418 of 2716

Top 15.39% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+3.0%

1M+2.8%

6M+11.9%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹1,319.61

200 DMA₹1,364.02

150 DMA Slope+0.2151%Rising

Relative Strength+17.37%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.4449

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (15).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
WABAGVA Tech Wabag Limited	0	0th	0	2	+0	GovernanceStable
EIELEnviro Infra Engineers Limited	0	0th	0	0	+0	GovernanceStable
DENTADENTA	15	50th	+15	2	+1	Earnings QualityStable
IONEXCHANGION Exchange (India) Limited	35	100th	+30	9	+2	Earnings QualityWatch