WEBELSOLARWebsol Energy System Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Other Electrical Equipment
Risk ClassStable
Market Cap₹2,300 Cr
Primary DriverBalance Sheet Stress
Flagium AI Risk Score
Stable structural profile. Financial profile appears resilient.
14 / 100
-5 QoQ
Improving
Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in balance sheet stress. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

54.5th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs
Updated2026-06-02
Market View
₹106.47▼0.59%
PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Balance Sheet Stress
+13.5 pts
Final Composite Risk14 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 6 → 14 over 13 quarters.

Expected Direction
🟢 Improving
Primary Deterioration Drivers
  • Inventory Stress
  • Working Capital Expansion
  • Operating Leverage Stress
What to Watch Next Quarter
  • Working capital efficiency
  • Inventory turnover
  • Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (5)

CriticalHigh
Working Capital Expansion
💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 3 Years
More Detail
Impact Weight10/15
MomentumPersistent
Last SignalQ4 FY2026
Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 778.2%.

"Early signs of working capital expansion. Receivable or inventory days are creeping up."

Inventory Stress
📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years
More Detail
Impact Weight15/15
MomentumAccelerating
Last SignalQ2 FY2026
Inventory growth (219.3%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (19.2%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Operating Leverage Stress
📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years
More Detail
Impact Weight10/15
MomentumAccelerating
Last SignalQ3 FY2026
Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"The balance sheet is heavily over-leveraged. Interest payments are consuming most of the profit."

Low Interest Coverage
💧 Liquidity & CoverageQuarterlyActive for 4 Qtrs
More Detail
Impact Weight8/15
MomentumDecaying
Last SignalQ4 FY2024
WEBELSOLAR: Low Interest Coverage Ratio of -6.79x in FY2024 Q4 (Threshold: 2.5x).

"The ability to cover interest is strengthening as earnings improve or debt is retired."

Negative FCF Streak
⚖️ Governance SignalsAnnualActive for 1 Years
More Detail
Impact Weight6/15
MomentumDecaying
Last SignalFY2024
WEBELSOLAR: Negative Free Cash Flow for last 3 consecutive years.

"Free cash flow pressure is easing as capital intensity or working capital stress recedes."

Risk Trajectory
Historical 12-quarter risk trend (Q-11 to Q0) followed by a 2-quarter predictive funnel (Q+1, Q+2).
Loading Chart
Resilience Matrix
Diagnostic benchmarking comparing structural sensitivity and risk buffers against sector medians.
MetricValuevs SectorSignal
Volatility (σ)8.175.89⚠️ HIGH
Sensitivity (ε_s)11.00✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.5%5%✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer+52.0+54.0📈 CRITICAL
Forensic Benchmark Context: Other Electrical Equipment (n=23 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart
Share Price
Risk Score (0-100)
Market Performance
₹106.47(-0.59%)
1M Divergence-6.05%
1 Week-5.72%
1 Month-3.79%
6 Months-3.59%
1 Year-24.3%
2 Year+91.49%
3 Year+1097.64%
Sector Average (1M)+2.27%
Sentinel Forensic Assessment
ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in balance sheet stress remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of core structural metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

WEBELSOLAR • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.8%
Trend QualityStabilizing
Phase Progression
Phase Progression Score50%
Readiness LabelModerate (Transition Potential Building)
Probability of Advancing8%
CoinTree Momentum
Composite Z-Score+1.1972σ
Strong positive momentum leadership
Universe Rank
A cross-sectional rank of this stock's composite momentum score compared to all other tracked equities in the universe. A rank of #1 of 1035 means it has the strongest overall price momentum in the market.
#193 of 2716
Top 7.11% in momentum strength
Timeframe Sparklines
1W-5.7%
1M-3.8%
6M-3.6%
Weinstein Indicators
150 DMA₹91.22
200 DMA₹100.38
150 DMA Slope-1.7841%Declining
Relative Strength+1.90%Neutral
Relative Turnover (RTR)1.3026
ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (12).
APARINDSApar Industries Limited
7 Risk
Sector %ile23th
Delta+1
Active Flags9
Accel+2
Earnings Quality

Stable

WEBELSOLARWebsol Energy System Limited
14 Risk
Sector %ile55th
Delta-5
Active Flags5
Accel+0
Balance Sheet Stress

Stable

SERVOTECHSERVOTECH
28 Risk
Sector %ile95th
Delta-5
Active Flags18
Accel+0
Governance

Watch

URJAURJA
35 Risk
Sector %ile100th
Delta+25
Active Flags21
Accel+3
Earnings Quality

Watch

* Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.

Risk Profiles

Solvency
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Governance
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Earnings Quality
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Balance Sheet Stress
3.232.5th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Competitive Position
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Growth Sustainability
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)

Deterioration Timeline

2026

Working Capital Expansion

2026

Operating Leverage Stress

2026

Inventory Stress

2026

Working Capital Expansion

2024

Inventory Stress

2024

Working Capital Expansion

2024

Negative FCF Streak

Key Financials (INR Cr)

PeriodRevenueNet ProfitOCFDebt
FY20261,059303255118
FY2025577155167152
FY202427-12135184
FY202320-24-827