Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹812.95(▲2.54%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

YATHARTHYatharth Hospital & Trauma Care Services Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Yatharth Hospital & Trauma Care Services Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Hospital

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹6,302 Cr

Primary DriverEarnings Quality

Flagium AI Risk Score

15 / 100

-5 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in profitability and earnings quality. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Risk levels are improving.

50.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹812.95▲2.54%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality

+11.4 pts

Stability Adjustment

+4.0 pts

Final Composite Risk15 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 15 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

🟢 Improving

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Margin Compression
Industrial Margin Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Inventory turnover
Operating profit margins
Working capital efficiency

Active Risk Objects (6)

CriticalHigh

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 4 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Inventory growth (102.8%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (30.9%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Negative FCF Streak

⚖️ Governance SignalsAnnualActive for 1 Years

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Impact Weight6/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalFY2026

YATHARTH: Negative Free Cash Flow for last 3 consecutive years.

"High capital expenditure and low OCF are draining cash. Debt levels may rise sharply."

Margin Compression

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

Operating margin declined by 3.6 bps YoY for two consecutive quarters.

"Operating efficiency is stabilizing. The rate of margin deterioration has slowed."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 3 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 2.7%.

"Working capital pressure is receding. Cash previously locked in operations is being released."

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

YATHARTH: EBITDA margin compressed by 2.4 bps YoY.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Operating Leverage Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	7.73	6.95	⚠️ HIGH
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+51.0	+51.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Hospital (n=17 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹812.95(+2.54%)

1M Divergence-3.13%

1 Week-0.42%

1 Month-0.86%

6 Months+18.9%

1 Year+59.17%

2 Year+96.15%

3 Year+116.9%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in earnings quality remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of operational margins and profitability metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Initial structural recovery is visible; monitor for a sustained return to resilience.

YATHARTH • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.71%

Trend QualityStabilizing

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score67.5%

Readiness LabelModerate (Transition Potential Building)

Probability of Advancing71%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.3515σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#551 of 2716

Top 20.29% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-0.4%

1M-0.9%

6M+18.9%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹716.94

200 DMA₹728.58

150 DMA Slope+0.6614%Rising

Relative Strength+24.39%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.0151

ParticipationNeutral

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (15).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
YATHARTHYatharth Hospital & Trauma Care Services Limited	15	50th	-5	6	+0	Earnings QualityStable
AGARWALEYEDr. Agarwal's Health Care Limited	19	63th	-5	7	+0	Balance Sheet StressStable
HCGHealthcare Global Enterprises Limited	26	75th	+3	24	+1	Balance Sheet StressWatch
GPTHEALTHGPTHEALTH	30	81th	-5	22	+0	Earnings QualityWatch