ABSLAMCAditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Asset Management Company
Risk ClassStable
Market Cap₹28,967 Cr
Primary DriverEarnings Quality
Flagium AI Risk Score
Stable structural profile. Financial profile appears resilient.
5 / 100
+5 QoQ
Early Deterioration
Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in profitability and earnings quality. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

60.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +1 Qtrs
Updated2026-06-02
Market View
₹1,027.2▲0.78%
PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality
+21.6 pts
Stability Adjustment
-17.0 pts
Final Composite Risk5 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 5 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction
⚠ Watch
Primary Deterioration Drivers
  • AUM Yield Compression
  • Operating Leverage Stress
What to Watch Next Quarter
  • Operating profit margins
  • Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (2)

CriticalHigh
AUM Yield Compression
🔭 Relative Sector RiskAnnualActive for 1 Years
More Detail
Impact Weight15/15
MomentumAccelerating
Last SignalQ4 FY2026
Yield compression detected: Fee realization dropped from 13.1 bps to 9.8 bps.

"Earnings quality is under severe pressure. High accruals suggest potential revenue overstatement."

Operating Leverage Stress
📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years
More Detail
Impact Weight10/15
MomentumDecaying
Last SignalQ4 FY2025
Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt servicing metrics have improved recently. The company is actively deleveraging."

Risk Trajectory
Historical 12-quarter risk trend (Q-11 to Q0) followed by a 2-quarter predictive funnel (Q+1, Q+2).
Loading Chart
Resilience Matrix
Diagnostic benchmarking comparing structural sensitivity and risk buffers against sector medians.
MetricValuevs SectorSignal
Volatility (σ)1.361.33⚠️ HIGH
Sensitivity (ε_s)11.00✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.5%5%✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer+61.0+63.5📈 CRITICAL
Forensic Benchmark Context: Asset Management Company (n=6 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart
Share Price
Risk Score (0-100)
Market Performance
₹1,027.2(+0.78%)
1M Divergence+1.91%
1 Week+2.37%
1 Month+1.18%
6 Months+41.2%
1 Year+40.8%
2 Year+105.91%
3 Year+203.39%
Sector Average (1M)-0.73%
Sentinel Forensic Assessment
ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in earnings quality remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of operational margins and profitability metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

ABSLAMC • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 2 — Advancing

The company is in a growth phase. Institutional sentiment is highly positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sustained risk reduction.

Stage Transition Prob.96%
Trend QualityStrong
Phase Progression
Phase Progression Score90%
Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)
Probability of Advancing96%
CoinTree Momentum
Composite Z-Score+0.5221σ
Improving momentum strength
Universe Rank
A cross-sectional rank of this stock's composite momentum score compared to all other tracked equities in the universe. A rank of #1 of 1035 means it has the strongest overall price momentum in the market.
#439 of 2716
Top 16.16% in momentum strength
Timeframe Sparklines
1W+2.4%
1M+1.2%
6M+41.2%
Weinstein Indicators
150 DMA₹876.03
200 DMA₹866.71
150 DMA Slope+3.3619%Rising
Relative Strength+46.68%Leading
Relative Turnover (RTR)1.4270
ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (2.5).
CRAMCCanara Robeco Asset Management Company Limited
0 Risk
Sector %ile0th
Delta0
Active Flags0
Accel+0
Governance

Stable

ABSLAMCAditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited
5 Risk
Sector %ile60th
Delta+5
Active Flags2
Accel+1
Earnings Quality

Stable

UTIAMCUTI Asset Management Company Limited
20 Risk
Sector %ile100th
Delta0
Active Flags6
Accel+0
Earnings Quality

Watch

* Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.

Risk Profiles

Governance
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Earnings Quality
2.828th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Competitive Position
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Growth Sustainability
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)

Deterioration Timeline

2026

AUM Yield Compression

2025

Operating Leverage Stress

Key Financials (INR Cr)

PeriodRevenueNet ProfitOCFDebt
FY20262,0609758120
FY20251,9869317080
FY20241,6417806850
FY20231,3545964370