Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹381.6(▲8.76%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

AGIILAgi Infra Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Agi Infra Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Residential Commercial Projects

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹3,787 Cr

Primary DriverCompetitive Position

Flagium AI Risk Score

5 / 100

+5 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in competitive position. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

30.6th %ile (Sector)Accel: +1 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹381.6▲8.76%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Competitive Position

+7.7 pts

Stability Adjustment

-3.0 pts

Final Composite Risk5 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 5 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Relative Growth Weakness

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (11.0%).

"Early signs of earnings quality decay. Profitability is being driven by non-core items."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	0.45	5.31	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+61.0	+56.0	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Residential Commercial Projects (n=50 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

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Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹381.6(+8.76%)

1M Divergence-3.91%

1 Week+4.81%

1 Month-3.53%

6 Months+42.68%

1 Year+128%

2 Year+345.12%

3 Year+345.12%

Sector Average (1M)+0.38%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in competitive position remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of core structural metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

AGIIL • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 2 — Advancing

The company is in a growth phase. Institutional sentiment is highly positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sustained risk reduction.

Stage Transition Prob.98%

Trend QualityStrong

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score75%

Readiness LabelHigh (Phase Transition Imminent)

Probability of Advancing98%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.6887σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#350 of 2716

Top 12.89% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+4.8%

1M-3.5%

6M+42.7%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹299.07

200 DMA₹285.11

150 DMA Slope+5.4090%Rising

Relative Strength+48.17%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.9156

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (10).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
AGIILAgi Infra Limited	5	31th	+5	1	+1	Competitive PositionStable
AJMERAAjmera Realty & Infra India Limited	12	55th	+4	7	+3	Earnings QualityStable
ALEMBICLTDAlembic Limited	16	65th	+16	4	+1	Earnings QualityStable
AMJLANDAmj Land Holdings Limited	35	80th	+35	3	+1	Earnings QualityWatch