CAPTRUSTCapital Trust Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Non Banking Financial Company (NBFC)
Risk ClassStable
Market Cap₹41 Cr
Primary DriverEarnings Quality
Flagium AI Risk Score
Stable structural profile. Financial profile appears resilient.
19 / 100
0 QoQ
Stable
Sentinel Insight

Asset quality remains stable for now. Pressure has stabilized in core profitability and credit costs. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. No major change in risk trend.

89.2th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs
Updated2026-06-02
Market View
14.560%
PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality
+18.6 pts
Final Composite Risk19 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 1619 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction
⚠ Watch
Primary Deterioration Drivers
  • NIM Compression
What to Watch Next Quarter
  • Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh
NIM Compression
📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 7 Qtrs
More Detail
Impact Weight10/15
MomentumPersistent
Last SignalQ4 FY2026
CAPTRUST: NIM compressed by 1567 bps YoY (to 11.40%).

"Early signs of margin compression detected. Core interest income is being squeezed."

Risk Trajectory
Historical 12-quarter risk trend (Q-11 to Q0) followed by a 2-quarter predictive funnel (Q+1, Q+2).
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Resilience Matrix
Diagnostic benchmarking comparing structural sensitivity and risk buffers against sector medians.
MetricValuevs SectorSignal
Volatility (σ)4.094.59✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)11.00✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.5%5%✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer+47.0+55.5📈 CRITICAL
Forensic Benchmark Context: Non Banking Financial Company (NBFC) (n=38 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart
Share Price
Risk Score (0-100)
Market Performance
14.56(+0%)
1M Divergence+9.4%
1 Week+4.97%
1 Month+8.74%
6 Months+28.51%
1 Year-84.76%
2 Year-87.51%
3 Year-79.13%
Sector Average (1M)-0.66%
Sentinel Forensic Assessment
ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in earnings quality remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of operational margins and profitability metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

CAPTRUST • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 4 — Declining

The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

Stage Transition Prob.1%
Trend QualityDeteriorating
Phase Progression
Phase Progression Score25%
Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)
Probability of Advancing1%
CoinTree Momentum
Composite Z-Score+0.3798σ
Improving momentum strength
Universe Rank
A cross-sectional rank of this stock's composite momentum score compared to all other tracked equities in the universe. A rank of #1 of 1035 means it has the strongest overall price momentum in the market.
#530 of 2716
Top 19.51% in momentum strength
Timeframe Sparklines
1W+5.0%
1M+8.7%
6M+28.5%
Weinstein Indicators
150 DMA15.12
200 DMA22.36
150 DMA Slope-16.5073%Declining
Relative Strength+16.94%Leading
Relative Turnover (RTR)0.1601
ParticipationWeak

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company shows higher risk compared to the Sector Mean (10.5).
AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Limited
16 Risk
Sector %ile78th
Delta0
Active Flags6
Accel+0
Earnings Quality

Stable

CAPTRUSTCapital Trust Limited
19 Risk
Sector %ile89th
Delta0
Active Flags1
Accel+0
Earnings Quality

Stable

* Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.

Risk Profiles

Solvency
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Governance
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Earnings Quality
2.625.8th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)
Growth Sustainability
10100th %ile
VS Sector Median (8.5)

Deterioration Timeline

2026

NIM Compression

2026

NIM Compression

2026

NIM Compression

2026

NIM Compression

2025

NIM Compression

2025

NIM Compression

2024

NIM Compression

Key Financials (INR Cr)

PeriodRevenueNet ProfitOCFDebt
FY202642-472840
FY2025961-19102
FY20248022080
FY202387-467496