Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹198.77(▲0.37%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

CGCLCapri Global Capital Limited Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: Capri Global Capital Limited Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Non Banking Financial Company (NBFC)

Risk ClassStable

Market Cap₹16,015 Cr

Primary DriverEarnings Quality

Flagium AI Risk Score

5 / 100

+5 QoQ

Early Deterioration

Sentinel Insight

Asset quality remains stable for now. Weakness is detected in core profitability and credit costs. No immediate concerns are visible. Risk is increasing at a faster pace.

32.4th %ile (Sector)Accel: +1 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹198.77▲0.37%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality

+16.5 pts

Stability Adjustment

-12.0 pts

Final Composite Risk5 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 5 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

NIM Compression

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins

Active Risk Objects (1)

CriticalHigh

NIM Compression

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 5 Qtrs

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

CGCL: NIM compressed by 798 bps YoY (to 9.52%). [Growth Adjusted: 54%]

"NIM is under severe pressure due to rising cost of funds or falling asset yields."

Risk Trajectory

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Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	4.09	4.59	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+61.0	+55.5	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Non Banking Financial Company (NBFC) (n=38 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

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Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹198.77(+0.37%)

1M Divergence+7.49%

1 Week+4.18%

1 Month+6.76%

6 Months+5.91%

1 Year+30.9%

2 Year-5.92%

3 Year-71.87%

Sector Average (1M)-0.73%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in earnings quality remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of operational margins and profitability metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. Strategic vigilance is advised as structural decay is accelerating.

CGCL • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.64%

Trend QualityStabilizing

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score65%

Readiness LabelModerate (Transition Potential Building)

Probability of Advancing64%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score+0.3900σ

Improving momentum strength

Universe Rank#519 of 2716

Top 19.11% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W+4.2%

1M+6.8%

6M+5.9%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹182.17

200 DMA₹183.68

150 DMA Slope+0.0969%Rising

Relative Strength+11.40%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.5453

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (10.5).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
AFILAkme Fintrade (India) Limited	0	0th	-5	2	+0	GovernanceStable
CGCLCapri Global Capital Limited	5	32th	+5	1	+1	Earnings QualityStable
AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Limited	16	78th	0	6	+0	Earnings QualityStable
AVONMOREAvonmore Capital & Management Services Limited	17	84th	+17	3	+1	Earnings QualityStable